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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-07-22 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,971 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.26) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,336.08 (+0.4%) | 2.0 | 0.5% | 2h | 6.0d ago · 71× | building | building | building | building | building | 8 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 6 → 1 |
| at post · 6,310.86 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH · 7D POC | 6,291.03–6,295.73 (-0.2%) | 1.2 | 2.7% | 7h | 8.1d ago · 75× | building | building | building | building | building | 6 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 9 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 6,271.52 (-0.6%) | 3.1 | 5.4% | 5h | 7.9d ago · 67× | 23% ±58 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 7% ±15 | 23% ±58 | 46% | 93% | 4.9d | — | — | 12 → 1 |
| 14D POC | 6,264.13 (-0.7%) | 3.7 | 5.9% | 11h | 6.1d ago · 63× | building | building | building | building | building | 8 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 6 → 1 |
| 30D POC · 14D VAL | 6,237.9–6,241.04 (-1.1%) | 5.5 | 2.6% | 4h | 6.0d ago · 58× | 7% ±36 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 6% ±13 | 6% ±34 | 6% | 6% | > 7d | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 6,146 (-2.6%) | 13 | 0.9% | 1h | 7.2d ago · 41× | 5% ±25 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 5% ±10 | 5% ±24 | 21% | 21% | > 7d | — | — | 19 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | long | 6,310.86 | 6,368.69 | 6,264.13 | expired | +0.49% |