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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-07-24 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,971 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.26) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 6,368.89 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 6,325.32 (-0.7%) | 3.2 | 1.8% | 2h | 1.2d ago · 53× | building | building | building | building | building | 6 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 3 → 1 |
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,307.13–6,310.85 (-0.9%) | 4.2 | 2.6% | 3h | 14.2d ago · 40× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 8 → 1 |
| 7D POC | 6,290.92 (-1.2%) | 5.7 | 4.0% | 7h | 8.1d ago · 75× | building | building | building | building | building | 7 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 6,278.98 (-1.4%) | 6.5 | 5.3% | 5h | 6.0d ago · 48× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
| 7D VAL · 14D POC | 6,266.47–6,271.93 (-1.5%) | 7.1 | 5.3% | 6h | 6.1d ago · 67× | building | building | building | building | building | 8 | 12% ±19 | 21% ±56 | 51% | 72% | 2.1d | — | — | 11 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 6,248.3 (-1.9%) | 8.8 | 4.2% | 6h | 7.9d ago · 58× | 7% ±36 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 6% ±13 | 6% ±34 | 6% | 6% | > 7d | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 6,119.62 (-3.9%) | 18 | 0.8% | 29m | 7.2d ago · 41× | 13% ±32 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 8% ±11 | 12% ±32 | 25% | 25% | > 7d | — | — | 24 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.