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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-08-05 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 6,397.64–6,403.44 (+1.3%) | 2.4 | 5.7% | 9h | 5.7d ago · 71× | 46% ±69 | 20% ±23 | 53% ±28 | 27% ±25 | 12 | 13% ±17 | 46% ±56 | 78% | 84% | 1.4d | 0.36% | 0.35% | 15 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D POC | 6,372.37–6,378.8 (+0.9%) | 1.6 | 13.3% | 18h | 5.9d ago · 78× | building | building | building | building | building | 9 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 5 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 6,368.25–6,393.12 (+0.8%) | 1.5 | 10.0% | 13h | 5.9d ago · 65× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 2 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 6,341.13–6,347.91 (+0.4%) | 0.7 | 4.8% | 6h | 21.7d ago · 30× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 2 → 1 |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 6,317.71–6,324.14 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 6.9% | 11h | 6.8d ago · 49× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 4 → 1 |
| at post · 6,317 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 6,286.89–6,300.45 (-0.3%) | 0.5 | 10.0% | 14h | 5.9d ago · 62× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 2 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 6,262.03 (-0.9%) | 1.6 | 15.4% | 1.0d | 6.9d ago · 41× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 3 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 6,317 | 6,231.27 | 6,372.37 | expired | +0.16% |
| 14d | VAL | short | 6,317 | 6,239.84 | 6,378.8 | expired | +0.16% |