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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-08-28 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,486.88–6,489.78 (+0.2%) | 1.1 | 0.8% | 1h | 5.7d ago · 71× | 58% ±48 | 24% ±20 | 48% ±24 | 28% ±21 | 17 | 30% ±17 | 61% ±43 | 78% ±57 | 94% | 1.2d | 0.40% | 0.24% | 28 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,473.47 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 6,438.89–6,472.82 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 3.1% | 5h | 5.8d ago · 62× | 83% ±52 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 79% ±23 | 86% ±48 | 86% | 86% | 1h | — | — | 12 → 1 |
| 7D POC | 6,464.75 (-0.1%) | 0.7 | 4.9% | 7h | 7.8d ago · 75× | 59% ±48 | 28% ±23 | 44% ±25 | 28% ±23 | 15 | 55% ±19 | 62% ±43 | 76% ±59 | 79% | 2h | 0.67% | 0.25% | 27 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 6,456.79–6,457.27 (-0.3%) | 1.4 | 6.9% | 11h | 5.7d ago · 63× | 42% ±56 | 19% ±21 | 50% ±27 | 31% ±25 | 13 | 30% ±23 | 40% ±55 | 44% | 44% | > 7d | 0.72% | 0.09% | 16 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,445.48 (-0.4%) | 2.4 | 5.3% | 9h | 7.6d ago · 67× | 20% ±39 | 8% ±17 | 62% ±30 | 31% ±29 | 10 | 12% ±13 | 19% ±39 | 32% | 47% | > 7d | 1.01% | 0.20% | 24 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,437.84 (-0.6%) | 3.0 | 2.6% | 4h | 7.6d ago · 58× | 24% ±48 | 23% ±26 | 38% ±30 | 38% ±30 | 10 | 11% ±15 | 21% ±46 | 21% | 21% | > 7d | 1.23% | 0.35% | 17 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,362.55 (-1.7%) | 9.4 | 1.8% | 3h | 6.9d ago · 41× | 5% ±16 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 2% ±5 | 5% ±16 | 5% ±29 | 5% | > 7d | — | — | 41 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 6,252.27–6,297.51 (-2.7%) | 15 | 0.9% | 1h | 1.6d ago · 55× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 2 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 6,473.47 | 6,464.75 | 6,494.33 | stop | +0.22% |