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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-08-29 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 6,506.59 (+0.7%) | 3.5 | 0.9% | 1h | 5.8d ago · 66× | 10% ±33 | 20% ±23 | 67% ±27 | 13% ±19 | 12 | 5% ±10 | 10% ±33 | 48% | 95% | 3.0d | 0.65% | 0.14% | 19 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,490.5–6,496.41 (+0.5%) | 2.3 | 0.7% | 1h | 21.6d ago · 30× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 4 → 1 |
| 7D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,487.68–6,490.5 (+0.4%) | 2.1 | 1.3% | 2h | 5.6d ago · 71× | 50% ±49 | 24% ±20 | 44% ±23 | 32% ±22 | 18 | 15% ±14 | 52% ±49 | 75% | 94% | 1.0d | 0.25% | 0.32% | 25 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 6,464.37 (+0.1%) | 0.4 | 5.8% | 9h | 5.8d ago · 78× | 94% ±27 | 29% ±24 | 29% ±24 | 41% ±26 | 14 | 76% ±21 | 94% ±27 | 94% | 94% | 1h | 0.13% | 0.39% | 15 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,459.11 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 7D VAL · 14D POC | 6,448.23–6,456.51 (-0.0%) | 0.2 | 7.8% | 13h | 5.6d ago · 67× | 70% ±45 | 14% ±19 | 55% ±27 | 31% ±25 | 13 | 64% ±19 | 70% ±45 | 75% | 75% | 6h | 0.85% | 0.14% | 25 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,435.91 (-0.4%) | 1.7 | 2.1% | 4h | 7.6d ago · 58× | 46% ±69 | 23% ±26 | 38% ±30 | 38% ±30 | 10 | 23% ±25 | 46% ±69 | 46% | 46% | > 7d | 1.23% | 0.35% | 11 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,416.61–6,422.52 (-0.6%) | 2.7 | 1.0% | 2h | 1.6d ago · 55× | 17% ±37 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 9% ±12 | 17% ±37 | 35% | 71% | 4.9d | — | — | 21 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 6,369.33–6,392.97 (-1.0%) | 4.8 | 3.5% | 6h | 5.8d ago · 62× | 9% ±33 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 5% ±9 | 9% ±33 | 32% | 70% | 5.1d | — | — | 20 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 6,351.59 (-1.7%) | 7.9 | 2.7% | 3h | 6.8d ago · 41× | 6% ±21 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 3% ±6 | 6% ±18 | 6% ±32 | 6% | > 7d | — | — | 34 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 6,459.11 | 6,464.37 | 6,494.23 | target | -0.04% |
| 14d | VAH | short | 6,459.11 | 6,448.23 | 6,519.31 | target | -0.04% |
| 30d | VAH | short | 6,459.11 | 6,456.51 | 6,515.5 | target | -0.04% |