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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-09-09 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 6,506.22–6,509.04 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 2.5% | 4h | 5.6d ago · 71× | 85% ±31 | 23% ±18 | 47% ±21 | 30% ±20 | 21 | 77% ±15 | 86% ±30 | 93% ±35 | 95% | 1h | 0.42% | 0.30% | 30 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,505.86 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 6,490.6 (-0.2%) | 1.0 | 4.6% | 7h | 7.8d ago · 75× | 62% ±39 | 29% ±21 | 43% ±23 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 49% ±16 | 60% ±39 | 75% ±60 | 78% | 21h | 0.58% | 0.25% | 37 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,438.25–6,485.45 (-0.3%) | 1.3 | 4.8% | 7h | 5.8d ago · 62× | 68% ±53 | 40% ±28 | 33% ±27 | 27% ±25 | 12 | 55% ±22 | 73% ±50 | 77% | 77% | 3h | 0.79% | 0.18% | 20 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 6,480.17 (-0.4%) | 1.7 | 5.5% | 8h | 5.8d ago · 63× | 39% ±55 | 17% ±19 | 56% ±25 | 28% ±23 | 15 | 30% ±21 | 45% ±56 | 62% | 62% | 1.9d | 0.72% | 0.09% | 18 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 6,451.5–6,459.97 (-0.7%) | 3.0 | 12.7% | 18h | 5.6d ago · 67× | 13% ±25 | 23% ±24 | 42% ±28 | 35% ±27 | 12 | 4% ±6 | 12% ±24 | 19% ±55 | 38% | > 7d | 0.86% | 0.20% | 43 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,434.48 (-1.1%) | 4.6 | 3.6% | 6h | 6.9d ago · 41× | 9% ±28 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 4% ±8 | 8% ±27 | 8% | 8% | > 7d | — | — | 23 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 6,415.6–6,417.49 (-1.4%) | 5.8 | 2.0% | 3h | 1.6d ago · 55× | 10% ±33 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 4% ±9 | 9% ±28 | 9% | 27% | > 7d | — | — | 21 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.