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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-09-10 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 6,532.77 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,509.31–6,511.03 (-0.3%) | 1.5 | 1.9% | 2h | 5.9d ago · 52× | 36% ±67 | 19% ±20 | 44% ±25 | 37% ±24 | 15 | 28% ±23 | 35% ±54 | 47% | 63% | 3.9d | 0.28% | 0.30% | 15 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,494.46–6,496.58 (-0.6%) | 2.5 | 4.1% | 7h | 5.9d ago · 62× | 27% ±50 | 38% ±26 | 38% ±26 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 13% ±14 | 26% ±43 | 40% | 50% | 7.0d | 0.72% | 0.18% | 22 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 6,484.65–6,490.96 (-0.6%) | 2.9 | 4.2% | 6h | 5.9d ago · 75× | 22% ±40 | 23% ±19 | 50% ±23 | 28% ±21 | 18 | 12% ±12 | 21% ±36 | 28% ±62 | 50% | 7.0d | 0.58% | 0.17% | 27 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D POC | 6,457.34–6,462.3 (-1.1%) | 4.9 | 10.4% | 15h | 5.8d ago · 67× | 10% ±19 | 21% ±23 | 45% ±28 | 35% ±27 | 12 | 3% ±5 | 10% ±19 | 16% ±42 | 49% | 7.0d | 0.76% | 0.18% | 55 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,446.55 (-1.3%) | 5.9 | 8.8% | 13h | 7.7d ago · 58× | 7% ±19 | 29% ±27 | 36% ±28 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 2% ±5 | 7% ±19 | 15% ±49 | 23% | > 7d | 1.06% | 0.25% | 41 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,435.07 (-1.5%) | 6.7 | 3.6% | 6h | 7.0d ago · 41× | 6% ±21 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 3% ±6 | 6% ±19 | 6% ±32 | 9% | > 7d | — | — | 33 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.