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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-09-11 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,974 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0017), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 6,581.25 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 6,545.73–6,577.35 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 1.0% | 1h | 1.3d ago · 55× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 3 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 6,522.69 (-0.9%) | 4.0 | 1.0% | 1h | 1.3d ago · 53× | building | 28% ±23 | 39% ±25 | 33% ±24 | 15 | building | building | building | building | — | 0.22% | 0.27% | 8 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH · 14D POC | 6,506.67–6,512.34 (-1.0%) | 4.7 | 1.2% | 1h | 6.3d ago · 63× | 15% ±41 | 12% ±16 | 55% ±24 | 33% ±23 | 16 | 8% ±11 | 15% ±35 | 36% | 68% | 6.1d | 0.50% | 0.18% | 22 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,436.28–6,497.09 (-1.3%) | 5.8 | 4.0% | 7h | 1.3d ago · 63× | 11% ±31 | 38% ±26 | 38% ±26 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 4% ±7 | 11% ±31 | 30% | 68% | 5.2d | 0.72% | 0.18% | 26 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 6,490.49 (-1.4%) | 6.2 | 4.3% | 6h | 8.3d ago · 75× | 11% ±36 | 29% ±21 | 43% ±23 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 11% ±15 | 11% ±35 | 23% | 65% | 6.9d | 0.58% | 0.25% | 17 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 7D VAL | 6,456.86–6,456.96 (-1.9%) | 8.5 | 12.1% | 18h | 6.1d ago · 67× | 11% ±27 | 21% ±23 | 45% ±28 | 35% ±27 | 12 | 4% ±7 | 10% ±25 | 32% ±64 | 61% | 6.4d | 0.76% | 0.18% | 34 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,433.85 (-2.2%) | 10 | 2.2% | 4h | 7.3d ago · 41× | 4% ±12 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 2% ±3 | 4% ±12 | 9% ±33 | 13% | > 7d | — | — | 55 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 6,414.94 (-2.5%) | 11 | 1.5% | 2h | 8.1d ago · 58× | 8% ±22 | 29% ±27 | 36% ±28 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 3% ±5 | 8% ±21 | 27% ±61 | 38% | > 7d | 1.06% | 0.25% | 38 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.