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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-10-03 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 6,738.27 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH · 7D POC · 30D VAH | 6,714.72–6,723.28 (-0.2%) | 1.0 | 0.8% | 2h | 5.8d ago · 75× | 49% ±37 | 24% ±18 | 41% ±21 | 35% ±20 | 21 | 39% ±15 | 50% ±37 | 63% ±67 | 74% | 1.3d | 0.41% | 0.27% | 42 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 6,699.53 (-0.6%) | 2.5 | 2.4% | 3h | 13.9d ago · 40× | 41% ±56 | 13% ±19 | 53% ±28 | 33% ±27 | 12 | 17% ±18 | 44% ±56 | 56% | 61% | 1.1d | 0.30% | 0.10% | 16 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,685.51–6,695.25 (-0.6%) | 2.7 | 3.5% | 5h | 5.8d ago · 62× | 19% ±29 | 33% ±22 | 38% ±22 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 7% ±8 | 19% ±29 | 35% ±66 | 58% | 6.9d | 0.59% | 0.22% | 41 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 6,660.95 (-1.1%) | 4.9 | 4.9% | 8h | 5.8d ago · 63× | 9% ±26 | 25% ±19 | 50% ±21 | 25% ±19 | 21 | 3% ±6 | 9% ±25 | 32% ±64 | 56% | 7.0d | 0.58% | 0.08% | 32 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,652.33 (-1.3%) | 5.5 | 6.3% | 11h | 7.6d ago · 67× | 8% ±15 | 12% ±17 | 59% ±26 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 3% ±4 | 8% ±15 | 19% ±38 | 47% ±69 | > 7d | 0.80% | 0.20% | 75 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,629.23 (-1.6%) | 7.0 | 2.6% | 4h | 7.6d ago · 58× | 7% ±17 | 33% ±27 | 33% ±27 | 33% ±27 | 12 | 2% ±3 | 7% ±16 | 18% ±43 | 25% | > 7d | 1.08% | 0.23% | 57 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 6,606.01 (-2.0%) | 8.4 | 7.0% | 11h | 5.7d ago · 48× | 10% ±21 | 41% ±26 | 24% ±22 | 35% ±25 | 14 | 2% ±4 | 10% ±19 | 34% ±53 | 52% | 7.0d | 0.67% | 0.21% | 51 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,578.43 (-2.4%) | 10 | 2.2% | 3h | 6.9d ago · 41× | 3% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±3 | 3% ±9 | 7% ±24 | 9% ±41 | > 7d | — | — | 76 → 2 |
| LVN zone | 6,545.97–6,575.18 (-2.4%) | 10 | 0.9% | 1h | 1.6d ago · 55× | 14% ±40 | 47% ±28 | 27% ±25 | 27% ±25 | 12 | 9% ±12 | 13% ±33 | 18% | 24% | > 7d | 0.73% | 0.07% | 21 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 6,738.27 | 6,809.22 | 6,717.25 | stop | -0.33% |