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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-10-22 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,750.58–6,757.15 (+1.1%) | 3.3 | 6.6% | 11h | 5.4d ago · 71× | 28% ±33 | 27% ±15 | 43% ±17 | 30% ±16 | 32 | 6% ±7 | 28% ±33 | 54% ±69 | 89% | 2.7d | 0.36% | 0.27% | 42 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D POC | 6,734.81–6,739.06 (+0.9%) | 2.6 | 9.2% | 16h | 5.6d ago · 78× | 44% ±56 | 28% ±18 | 33% ±18 | 39% ±19 | 25 | 9% ±13 | 44% ±56 | 81% | 93% | 1.5d | 0.33% | 0.37% | 20 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,710.34–6,720.98 (+0.5%) | 1.5 | 8.6% | 12h | 5.6d ago · 65× | 54% ±49 | 25% ±24 | 25% ±24 | 50% ±27 | 13 | 28% ±18 | 56% ±49 | 92% | 96% | 1.0d | 0.38% | 0.42% | 23 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,675.7 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 6,642.26–6,665.66 (-0.2%) | 0.4 | 7.6% | 12h | 5.5d ago · 62× | 81% ±27 | 31% ±17 | 34% ±17 | 34% ±17 | 29 | 67% ±13 | 82% ±27 | 88% ±37 | 90% | 1h | 0.55% | 0.27% | 47 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 6,650.77–6,658.84 (-0.3%) | 0.7 | 10.9% | 16h | 6.6d ago · 67× | 59% ±43 | 26% ±20 | 41% ±23 | 33% ±22 | 18 | 56% ±17 | 59% ±43 | 61% ±68 | 66% | 2h | 0.86% | 0.36% | 32 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.