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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-10-23 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,749.7–6,755.02 (+0.3%) | 1.0 | 5.8% | 10h | 5.5d ago · 71× | 70% ±27 | 27% ±15 | 43% ±17 | 30% ±16 | 32 | 52% ±12 | 70% ±27 | 85% ±35 | 96% ±26 | 6h | 0.36% | 0.27% | 66 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D POC | 6,735.95–6,739.06 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 8.2% | 13h | 5.7d ago · 78× | 89% ±27 | 28% ±18 | 33% ±18 | 39% ±19 | 25 | 80% ±14 | 90% ±26 | 95% ±30 | 96% | 1h | 0.33% | 0.37% | 30 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,732.25 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 6,725.23–6,729.49 (-0.0%) | 0.2 | 6.4% | 11h | 5.7d ago · 62× | 86% ±26 | 31% ±17 | 34% ±17 | 34% ±17 | 29 | 75% ±13 | 86% ±25 | 91% ±40 | 93% | 1h | 0.55% | 0.27% | 42 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,669.91 (-0.9%) | 3.5 | 5.0% | 8h | 7.5d ago · 67× | 14% ±20 | 24% ±20 | 52% ±23 | 24% ±20 | 18 | 10% ±7 | 15% ±20 | 29% ±45 | 52% ±69 | 7.0d | 0.86% | 0.26% | 71 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 6,650.24–6,650.77 (-1.2%) | 4.5 | 7.9% | 12h | 6.7d ago · 58× | 10% ±19 | 28% ±23 | 28% ±23 | 44% ±25 | 15 | 4% ±5 | 11% ±20 | 19% ±45 | 28% | > 7d | 0.86% | 0.48% | 55 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.