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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-11-06 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 6,888.42 (+2.5%) | 6.8 | 2.1% | 3h | 5.5d ago · 66× | 8% ±26 | 33% ±17 | 45% ±18 | 21% ±15 | 30 | 3% ±7 | 7% ±23 | 58% ±68 | 73% | 2.9d | 0.59% | 0.17% | 27 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 6,870.08 (+2.2%) | 6.0 | 4.0% | 5h | 5.4d ago · 71× | 7% ±26 | 22% ±14 | 44% ±17 | 33% ±16 | 33 | 3% ±7 | 7% ±22 | 43% ±69 | 61% | 5.1d | 0.29% | 0.26% | 28 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 6,851.73–6,853.3 (+1.9%) | 5.3 | 7.8% | 11h | 5.6d ago · 78× | 30% ±52 | 33% ±17 | 33% ±17 | 35% ±18 | 28 | 5% ±11 | 30% ±52 | 59% | 84% | 2.0d | 0.40% | 0.30% | 17 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 6,827.95 (+1.6%) | 4.3 | 3.4% | 5h | 7.6d ago · 49× | 20% ±29 | 31% ±19 | 27% ±18 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 2% ±5 | 19% ±29 | 56% ±69 | 88% | 2.0d | 0.23% | 0.47% | 41 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,798.39–6,805.78 (+1.1%) | 3.1 | 4.5% | 7h | 5.6d ago · 65× | 35% ±54 | 30% ±22 | 25% ±21 | 45% ±24 | 17 | 5% ±10 | 35% ±54 | 81% | 95% | 1.9d | 0.44% | 0.42% | 19 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 6,780.93–6,782 (+0.9%) | 2.4 | 2.3% | 4h | 6.5d ago · 49× | building | 20% ±23 | 47% ±28 | 33% ±27 | 12 | 8% ±16 | 45% ±69 | 92% | 92% | 1.0d | 0.45% | 0.41% | 11 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,757.73–6,772.52 (+0.5%) | 1.5 | 2.4% | 5h | 21.4d ago · 30× | 76% ±48 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 33% ±23 | 78% ±47 | 89% | 94% | 21h | — | — | 16 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 6,737.41 (+0.2%) | 0.6 | 10.0% | 16h | 5.6d ago · 46× | 86% ±40 | 17% ±19 | 28% ±23 | 56% ±25 | 15 | 82% ±17 | 86% ±39 | 95% | 95% | 1h | 0.36% | 0.59% | 20 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,721.72 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 6,683.82–6,691.21 (-0.5%) | 1.2 | 1.6% | 3h | 1.3d ago · 55× | 61% ±34 | 33% ±19 | 26% ±18 | 41% ±20 | 24 | 42% ±14 | 62% ±34 | 68% ±53 | 88% | 21h | 0.56% | 0.30% | 50 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,654.26–6,676.43 (-0.7%) | 1.8 | 3.9% | 6h | 5.5d ago · 62× | 38% ±34 | 34% ±16 | 31% ±16 | 34% ±16 | 32 | 23% ±11 | 42% ±32 | 58% ±56 | 69% | 1.9d | 0.59% | 0.26% | 54 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,550.78 (-2.5%) | 6.9 | 0.2% | 11m | 6.6d ago · 41× | 3% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±3 | 3% ±9 | 3% ±16 | 7% ±36 | > 7d | — | — | 71 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | POC | short | 6,721.72 | 6,550.78 | 6,827.95 | expired | -0.11% |