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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-12-01 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 7D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,816.61–6,882.32 (+0.1%) | 0.0 | 74.9% | 4.2d | 5.5d ago · 78× | 84% ±24 | 27% ±15 | 37% ±16 | 36% ±16 | 35 | 77% ±12 | 84% ±24 | 90% ±33 | 94% | 1h | 0.34% | 0.35% | 51 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,812.37 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH · 7D VAL · 30D VAL · 14D POC · 14D VAL | 6,576.83–6,782.35 (-0.4%) | 0.1 | 84.8% | 4.7d | 5.7d ago · 67× | 74% ±35 | 23% ±16 | 39% ±19 | 38% ±19 | 26 | 67% ±15 | 74% ±35 | 80% ±55 | 87% | 10h | 0.63% | 0.39% | 37 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 6,812.37 | 6,816.61 | 6,875.52 | target | -0.25% |
| 30d | POC | short | 6,812.37 | 6,675.85 | 6,882.32 | expired | -0.25% |