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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-12-03 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,862.42–6,869.91 (+0.2%) | 0.0 | 65.2% | 4.1d | 5.5d ago · 71× | 86% ±22 | 27% ±14 | 43% ±16 | 30% ±15 | 37 | 76% ±11 | 87% ±21 | 93% ±30 | 94% | 1h | 0.39% | 0.23% | 57 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,850.51 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC · 7D VAL · 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 6,656.55–6,835.56 (-0.2%) | 0.0 | 72.4% | 4.5d | 5.5d ago · 75× | 75% ±32 | 26% ±15 | 37% ±16 | 37% ±16 | 34 | 64% ±14 | 75% ±30 | 80% ±45 | 87% | 4h | 0.71% | 0.36% | 47 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 6,850.51 | 6,828.11 | 6,874.77 | target | -0.11% |
| 14d | VAH | short | 6,850.51 | 6,828.11 | 6,899.48 | target | -0.11% |