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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-12-04 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,866.47–6,869.91 (+0.2%) | 0.7 | 3.3% | 43m | 5.4d ago · 71× | 74% ±24 | 26% ±14 | 44% ±16 | 29% ±14 | 38 | 59% ±11 | 75% ±23 | 87% ±30 | 93% ±34 | 2h | 0.39% | 0.23% | 82 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,852.81 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 6,832.14–6,835.56 (-0.3%) | 0.8 | 8.1% | 12h | 5.4d ago · 75× | 62% ±26 | 27% ±15 | 36% ±16 | 37% ±16 | 34 | 51% ±11 | 64% ±26 | 77% ±41 | 81% ±55 | 12h | 0.56% | 0.25% | 78 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,797.81 (-0.8%) | 2.6 | 2.8% | 4h | 7.4d ago · 67× | 25% ±26 | 22% ±15 | 50% ±18 | 28% ±16 | 29 | 19% ±9 | 25% ±26 | 40% ±48 | 62% ±67 | 4.9d | 0.90% | 0.43% | 66 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 6,660.48–6,663.81 (-2.8%) | 9.0 | 2.5% | 4h | 6.6d ago · 58× | 7% ±12 | 27% ±18 | 32% ±19 | 41% ±20 | 23 | 4% ±4 | 7% ±12 | 17% ±30 | 25% ±49 | > 7d | 0.91% | 0.49% | 109 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.