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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-12-05 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,895.5 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | <0.1% | 11m | 5.3d ago · 71× | 82% ±23 | 26% ±14 | 44% ±16 | 29% ±14 | 38 | 67% ±11 | 83% ±21 | 90% ±30 | 94% ±33 | 1h | 0.39% | 0.23% | 69 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,890.91 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 6,861.02 (-0.4%) | 1.5 | 4.0% | 4h | 5.3d ago · 75× | 43% ±31 | 26% ±15 | 38% ±16 | 36% ±16 | 35 | 26% ±11 | 44% ±29 | 67% ±46 | 74% ±61 | 1.3d | 0.56% | 0.20% | 63 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,826.55 (-0.9%) | 3.1 | 6.7% | 14h | 7.3d ago · 67× | 18% ±20 | 22% ±15 | 50% ±18 | 28% ±16 | 29 | 13% ±7 | 18% ±20 | 35% ±42 | 61% ±68 | 5.0d | 0.90% | 0.43% | 84 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 6,688.64 (-2.9%) | 9.8 | 2.2% | 2h | 6.5d ago · 58× | 6% ±11 | 27% ±18 | 32% ±19 | 41% ±20 | 23 | 3% ±3 | 6% ±10 | 17% ±30 | 25% ±49 | > 7d | 0.91% | 0.49% | 112 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 6,890.91 | 6,895.5 | 6,826.55 | target | -0.32% |
| 14d | POC | long | 6,890.91 | 6,895.5 | 6,688.64 | target | -0.32% |
| 30d | POC | long | 6,890.91 | 6,895.5 | 6,688.64 | target | -0.32% |