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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-12-10 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,895.78 (+0.8%) | 3.2 | 0.3% | 17m | 5.4d ago · 66× | 17% ±20 | 28% ±15 | 44% ±16 | 29% ±15 | 35 | 4% ±4 | 17% ±20 | 39% ±43 | 65% ±66 | 4.1d | 0.48% | 0.25% | 82 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D POC · 30D POC | 6,860.95–6,861.3 (+0.3%) | 1.1 | 5.4% | 6h | 5.3d ago · 71× | 67% ±26 | 25% ±13 | 45% ±15 | 31% ±14 | 42 | 45% ±11 | 67% ±25 | 85% ±32 | 92% ±37 | 12h | 0.37% | 0.20% | 82 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 6,848.51 (+0.1%) | 0.4 | 8.0% | 16h | 5.5d ago · 78× | 83% ±28 | 28% ±15 | 42% ±17 | 31% ±16 | 33 | 73% ±13 | 83% ±26 | 90% ±35 | 94% | 1h | 0.44% | 0.35% | 46 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,842.53 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 6,835.35 (-0.1%) | 0.4 | 9.4% | 14h | 7.2d ago · 67× | 82% ±25 | 24% ±15 | 50% ±18 | 26% ±16 | 31 | 67% ±12 | 83% ±23 | 87% ±38 | 90% | 1h | 0.90% | 0.27% | 58 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,826.82 (-0.2%) | 1.0 | 6.2% | 10h | 7.2d ago · 58× | 48% ±33 | 23% ±17 | 31% ±19 | 46% ±20 | 23 | 43% ±13 | 52% ±33 | 57% ±56 | 69% | 1.0d | 0.67% | 0.48% | 56 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,688.91 (-2.2%) | 9.3 | 1.3% | 1h | 6.5d ago · 41× | 5% ±10 | 33% ±24 | 33% ±24 | 33% ±24 | 15 | 2% ±3 | 5% ±10 | 10% ±22 | 15% ±41 | > 7d | 1.30% | 0.50% | 120 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 6,842.53 | 6,835.35 | 6,860.95 | stop | -0.61% |