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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-12-11 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,900.67 (+0.4%) | 1.4 | 0.7% | 21m | 5.4d ago · 66× | 46% ±29 | 28% ±15 | 44% ±16 | 29% ±15 | 35 | 25% ±10 | 46% ±29 | 69% ±45 | 89% ±44 | 1.1d | 0.48% | 0.25% | 68 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,874.04 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D VAH | 6,864.2–6,866.17 (-0.1%) | 0.4 | 4.8% | 5h | 5.3d ago · 63× | 72% ±29 | 28% ±17 | 37% ±18 | 35% ±18 | 28 | 58% ±13 | 73% ±29 | 82% ±43 | 87% | 2h | 0.53% | 0.19% | 53 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 6,847.86 (-0.4%) | 1.4 | 9.9% | 19h | 7.4d ago · 75× | 45% ±28 | 25% ±14 | 40% ±16 | 35% ±15 | 37 | 26% ±10 | 46% ±28 | 68% ±46 | 83% ±52 | 1.0d | 0.50% | 0.24% | 70 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 6,831.66–6,832.29 (-0.6%) | 2.2 | 7.6% | 13h | 7.2d ago · 67× | 25% ±27 | 23% ±15 | 42% ±17 | 35% ±17 | 31 | 17% ±9 | 29% ±28 | 44% ±56 | 63% | 3.5d | 0.80% | 0.36% | 62 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,693.65 (-2.6%) | 9.6 | 1.8% | 2h | 6.5d ago · 41× | 5% ±10 | 33% ±24 | 33% ±24 | 33% ±24 | 15 | 2% ±3 | 5% ±9 | 10% ±22 | 15% ±41 | > 7d | 1.30% | 0.50% | 121 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 6,874.04 | 6,866.17 | 6,913.09 | target | +0.38% |
| 30d | VAH | short | 6,874.04 | 6,866.17 | 6,937.93 | target | +0.38% |