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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-12-16 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,903.46 (+1.5%) | 3.9 | 1.7% | 2h | 7.6d ago · 49× | 15% ±18 | 30% ±16 | 36% ±17 | 33% ±17 | 30 | 2% ±3 | 14% ±18 | 42% ±43 | 60% ±68 | 4.9d | 0.53% | 0.28% | 90 → 2 | |
| 30D POC · 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,868.94–6,871.84 (+1.0%) | 2.6 | 6.1% | 7h | 5.4d ago · 71× | 26% ±22 | 25% ±13 | 47% ±15 | 28% ±13 | 43 | 8% ±6 | 25% ±22 | 48% ±44 | 76% ±59 | 3.4d | 0.43% | 0.21% | 92 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 6,849.57 (+0.8%) | 1.9 | 11.4% | 20h | 5.6d ago · 51× | 44% ±37 | 37% ±18 | 30% ±17 | 33% ±18 | 27 | 16% ±11 | 42% ±37 | 68% ±64 | 86% | 1.9d | 0.41% | 0.17% | 42 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D POC | 6,812.92–6,822.26 (+0.2%) | 0.5 | 8.2% | 11h | 5.6d ago · 78× | 80% ±24 | 25% ±14 | 45% ±16 | 30% ±15 | 36 | 63% ±12 | 80% ±24 | 91% ±27 | 95% ±31 | 2h | 0.49% | 0.36% | 65 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,798.51 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 6,782.74 (-0.2%) | 0.6 | 1.6% | 3h | 7.4d ago · 67× | 82% ±23 | 26% ±15 | 47% ±17 | 26% ±15 | 35 | 66% ±12 | 82% ±23 | 87% ±33 | 90% ±42 | 1h | 0.90% | 0.27% | 65 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,696.36 (-1.5%) | 3.8 | 2.5% | 3h | 6.6d ago · 41× | 17% ±24 | 33% ±24 | 33% ±24 | 33% ±24 | 15 | 12% ±9 | 16% ±24 | 35% ±54 | 41% | > 7d | 1.30% | 0.50% | 55 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.