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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-12-19 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,903.46 (+1.2%) | 2.8 | 1.9% | 2h | 7.7d ago · 49× | 23% ±22 | 30% ±16 | 36% ±17 | 33% ±17 | 30 | 7% ±5 | 23% ±22 | 53% ±44 | 71% ±63 | 2.9d | 0.53% | 0.28% | 86 → 2 | |
| 30D POC · 14D VAH | 6,868.94–6,879.67 (+0.7%) | 1.6 | 6.6% | 8h | 5.6d ago · 66× | 38% ±28 | 29% ±15 | 43% ±16 | 28% ±15 | 37 | 22% ±10 | 38% ±27 | 58% ±48 | 79% ±56 | 2.7d | 0.49% | 0.24% | 70 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D POC | 6,835.53–6,847.64 (+0.2%) | 0.5 | 12.4% | 23h | 5.5d ago · 71× | 75% ±22 | 26% ±13 | 44% ±15 | 30% ±14 | 43 | 57% ±10 | 74% ±22 | 83% ±33 | 90% ±42 | 2h | 0.37% | 0.17% | 89 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,821.15 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 6,814.41 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 10.4% | 15h | 7.6d ago · 75× | 79% ±25 | 26% ±14 | 38% ±15 | 36% ±15 | 39 | 59% ±12 | 79% ±25 | 89% ±36 | 92% | 1h | 0.50% | 0.24% | 61 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 6,772.88–6,784.49 (-0.5%) | 1.2 | 3.4% | 7h | 7.4d ago · 67× | 49% ±31 | 26% ±14 | 39% ±16 | 35% ±16 | 36 | 39% ±13 | 48% ±31 | 60% ±55 | 72% | 1.8d | 0.78% | 0.40% | 57 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,696.36 (-1.8%) | 4.2 | 2.1% | 3h | 6.7d ago · 41× | 13% ±21 | 33% ±24 | 33% ±24 | 33% ±24 | 15 | 8% ±7 | 13% ±21 | 30% ±52 | 36% | > 7d | 1.30% | 0.50% | 61 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 6,821.15 | 6,835.53 | 6,772.88 | target | +0.20% |
| 14d | VAL | long | 6,821.15 | 6,847.64 | 6,767.36 | expired | +0.20% |