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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-12-29 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D POC · 7D VAH · 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,911.04–6,945.77 (+0.3%) | 0.0 | 93.6% | 5.3d | 5.4d ago · 78× | 85% ±19 | 27% ±13 | 45% ±14 | 28% ±13 | 46 | 69% ±10 | 85% ±19 | 92% ±26 | 95% ±31 | 1h | 0.41% | 0.23% | 78 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,890.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL · 30D POC · 30D VAL · 14D POC · 14D VAL | 6,737.4–6,876.31 (-0.2%) | 0.0 | 99.0% | 5.5d | 5.4d ago · 67× | 69% ±29 | 27% ±14 | 37% ±15 | 36% ±15 | 38 | 59% ±12 | 69% ±29 | 76% ±48 | 81% | 14h | 0.80% | 0.34% | 60 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.