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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-12-31 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,945.77 (+1.0%) | 5.5 | 0.6% | 9m | 5.4d ago · 71× | 10% ±15 | 24% ±12 | 49% ±14 | 27% ±13 | 48 | 2% ±3 | 10% ±15 | 24% ±38 | 51% ±69 | 6.5d | 0.49% | 0.17% | 82 → 2 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 6,911.04 (+0.5%) | 2.7 | 2.4% | 3h | 5.6d ago · 78× | 30% ±32 | 31% ±15 | 38% ±15 | 30% ±14 | 39 | 7% ±7 | 30% ±32 | 53% ±56 | 80% | 2.8d | 0.44% | 0.26% | 49 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,877.14 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 6,876.31 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 3.7% | 9h | 7.4d ago · 67× | 85% ±21 | 23% ±13 | 49% ±15 | 28% ±14 | 40 | 70% ±11 | 86% ±21 | 90% ±30 | 96% ±28 | 1h | 0.86% | 0.26% | 67 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 6,841.58 (-0.5%) | 2.9 | 7.0% | 9h | 5.4d ago · 48× | 27% ±31 | 34% ±17 | 31% ±17 | 34% ±17 | 29 | 8% ±8 | 27% ±31 | 46% ±56 | 54% | 6.9d | 0.72% | 0.23% | 46 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 6,806.85 (-1.0%) | 5.7 | 3.1% | 3h | 6.6d ago · 58× | 9% ±14 | 26% ±16 | 34% ±18 | 40% ±18 | 28 | 3% ±4 | 9% ±14 | 28% ±39 | 36% ±66 | > 7d | 1.02% | 0.45% | 92 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.