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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-01-02 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,945.77 (+1.4%) | 6.4 | 0.7% | 11m | 5.4d ago · 66× | 8% ±16 | 28% ±14 | 46% ±15 | 26% ±14 | 40 | 3% ±4 | 8% ±16 | 20% ±39 | 42% ±68 | > 7d | 0.59% | 0.17% | 68 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 7D VAH | 6,911.04–6,914.45 (+0.9%) | 4.1 | 3.1% | 4h | 5.2d ago · 71× | 11% ±17 | 24% ±12 | 48% ±14 | 29% ±13 | 49 | 2% ±3 | 11% ±17 | 25% ±43 | 66% ±66 | 5.6d | 0.38% | 0.13% | 78 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 6,902.42 (+0.8%) | 3.5 | 3.2% | 11h | 5.4d ago · 78× | 29% ±31 | 28% ±14 | 44% ±15 | 28% ±14 | 40 | 4% ±5 | 29% ±31 | 47% ±56 | 76% | 3.1d | 0.48% | 0.31% | 50 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,861.55 (+0.2%) | 0.8 | 5.7% | 7h | 6.3d ago · 49× | 79% ±33 | 23% ±19 | 41% ±22 | 36% ±22 | 19 | 50% ±16 | 79% ±33 | 95% ±31 | 97% | 3h | 0.45% | 0.35% | 36 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,850.09 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 6,841.58 (-0.1%) | 0.6 | 7.9% | 9h | 5.2d ago · 48× | 70% ±30 | 33% ±17 | 33% ±17 | 33% ±17 | 30 | 52% ±13 | 70% ±30 | 80% ±45 | 82% | 3h | 0.71% | 0.21% | 54 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 6,806.85 (-0.6%) | 2.9 | 3.1% | 3h | 6.4d ago · 58× | 20% ±24 | 25% ±16 | 36% ±17 | 38% ±18 | 29 | 9% ±7 | 20% ±24 | 39% ±48 | 51% ±69 | 5.9d | 1.04% | 0.44% | 65 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.