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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-01-23 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D POC · 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,975.48–6,986.33 (+0.7%) | 1.7 | 8.5% | 11h | 5.4d ago · 66× | 31% ±23 | 28% ±13 | 44% ±15 | 27% ±13 | 44 | 12% ±6 | 31% ±23 | 57% ±43 | 83% ±53 | 2.4d | 0.50% | 0.20% | 97 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 6,951.4 (+0.4%) | 0.9 | 11.0% | 18h | 5.4d ago · 46× | 69% ±26 | 21% ±14 | 41% ±17 | 38% ±17 | 31 | 51% ±11 | 67% ±25 | 87% ±33 | 92% ±39 | 3h | 0.40% | 0.37% | 76 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 6,934.78 (+0.1%) | 0.3 | 14.1% | 15h | 5.2d ago · 71× | 83% ±17 | 17% ±10 | 55% ±13 | 28% ±12 | 55 | 65% ±9 | 83% ±17 | 91% ±23 | 95% ±24 | 1h | 0.35% | 0.15% | 108 → 3 | |
| at post · 6,925.37 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 6,925.35 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 14.7% | 21h | 7.4d ago · 75× | 81% ±23 | 30% ±13 | 38% ±14 | 32% ±13 | 47 | 63% ±11 | 81% ±23 | 91% ±27 | 96% ±28 | 1h | 0.50% | 0.21% | 68 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,903.47 (-0.3%) | 0.8 | 13.6% | 22h | 7.2d ago · 58× | 45% ±27 | 26% ±15 | 31% ±16 | 43% ±17 | 32 | 33% ±10 | 46% ±26 | 56% ±44 | 80% ±56 | 2.0d | 0.82% | 0.42% | 83 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,846.6 (-1.1%) | 2.7 | 3.5% | 6h | 6.4d ago · 41× | 18% ±25 | 24% ±18 | 40% ±20 | 36% ±20 | 22 | 12% ±8 | 17% ±23 | 34% ±54 | 49% | > 7d | 1.32% | 0.46% | 57 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,816.48 (-1.6%) | 3.8 | 1.3% | 2h | 7.2d ago · 67× | 14% ±14 | 23% ±13 | 49% ±15 | 28% ±13 | 44 | 7% ±4 | 13% ±14 | 32% ±35 | 57% ±56 | 5.9d | 0.75% | 0.26% | 134 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 6,925.37 | 6,934.78 | 6,816.48 | expired | -0.15% |