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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-01-26 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HVN zone | 6,972.52–6,976.47 (+0.3%) | 0.9 | 9.5% | 12h | 5.4d ago · 65× | 68% ±28 | 25% ±17 | 25% ±17 | 50% ±20 | 25 | 49% ±12 | 68% ±28 | 81% ±39 | 91% ±39 | 5h | 0.38% | 0.42% | 66 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,960.68–6,972.52 (+0.2%) | 0.5 | 8.7% | 12h | 5.4d ago · 66× | 76% ±20 | 27% ±13 | 48% ±15 | 25% ±13 | 44 | 57% ±10 | 76% ±20 | 88% ±26 | 93% ±35 | 3h | 0.53% | 0.19% | 103 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,948.94 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 6,935.57 (-0.2%) | 0.5 | 6.5% | 8h | 5.4d ago · 52× | 68% ±29 | 22% ±14 | 41% ±17 | 38% ±16 | 34 | 50% ±13 | 68% ±29 | 87% ±38 | 93% | 4h | 0.40% | 0.26% | 58 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,899.53–6,929.12 (-0.3%) | 0.8 | 9.5% | 11h | 5.4d ago · 62× | 72% ±23 | 30% ±14 | 27% ±14 | 43% ±15 | 41 | 55% ±11 | 72% ±23 | 86% ±30 | 92% ±38 | 2h | 0.52% | 0.44% | 85 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D POC | 6,917.88–6,918.27 (-0.4%) | 1.2 | 16.7% | 18h | 5.2d ago · 75× | 52% ±25 | 27% ±13 | 40% ±14 | 33% ±13 | 48 | 34% ±10 | 52% ±25 | 74% ±38 | 81% ±54 | 23h | 0.54% | 0.21% | 88 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,893.61 (-0.8%) | 2.2 | 4.8% | 8h | 6.4d ago · 41× | 27% ±33 | 24% ±18 | 40% ±20 | 36% ±20 | 22 | 22% ±13 | 27% ±33 | 34% ±66 | 49% | > 7d | 1.32% | 0.46% | 39 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,883.74–6,887.69 (-0.9%) | 2.4 | 2.6% | 4h | 1.3d ago · 55× | 33% ±29 | 32% ±16 | 21% ±14 | 47% ±18 | 31 | 21% ±10 | 33% ±29 | 60% ±55 | 83% | 2.1d | 0.58% | 0.38% | 61 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 6,844.29–6,853.05 (-1.4%) | 3.8 | 4.7% | 6h | 7.2d ago · 67× | 15% ±14 | 24% ±13 | 42% ±15 | 34% ±14 | 44 | 5% ±4 | 15% ±14 | 34% ±33 | 54% ±56 | 5.9d | 0.77% | 0.32% | 138 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 6,948.94 | 7,031.46 | 6,917.88 | expired | +0.33% |
| 14d | POC | long | 6,948.94 | 6,960.68 | 6,844.29 | target | +0.33% |
| 30d | POC | long | 6,948.94 | 6,972.52 | 6,893.61 | target | +0.33% |