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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-01-27 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 6,977.44 (+0.1%) | 0.3 | 5.2% | 7h | 5.5d ago · 66× | 80% ±21 | 30% ±14 | 49% ±15 | 21% ±12 | 44 | 63% ±10 | 80% ±21 | 89% ±27 | 93% ±36 | 1h | 0.59% | 0.17% | 86 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,971.82 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 6,970.55 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 6.9% | 9h | 14.5d ago · 30× | 89% ±30 | 14% ±15 | 50% ±22 | 36% ±22 | 19 | 68% ±18 | 89% ±30 | 89% | 93% | 1h | 0.37% | 0.33% | 26 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,942.93–6,964.63 (-0.1%) | 0.4 | 7.4% | 11h | 5.5d ago · 62× | 81% ±23 | 30% ±14 | 27% ±14 | 43% ±15 | 41 | 65% ±11 | 78% ±23 | 88% ±31 | 92% ±38 | 1h | 0.52% | 0.44% | 69 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 6,957.46 (-0.2%) | 0.8 | 9.9% | 14h | 5.5d ago · 63× | 69% ±24 | 22% ±13 | 46% ±16 | 32% ±15 | 38 | 57% ±10 | 69% ±23 | 84% ±32 | 87% ±46 | 2h | 0.57% | 0.15% | 88 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 6,934.88 (-0.5%) | 2.0 | 4.0% | 5h | 5.5d ago · 52× | 25% ±35 | 22% ±14 | 41% ±17 | 38% ±16 | 34 | 15% ±11 | 25% ±35 | 60% ±68 | 75% | 2.1d | 0.40% | 0.26% | 38 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC | 6,918.27–6,918.78 (-0.8%) | 2.8 | 11.5% | 13h | 5.4d ago · 75× | 25% ±24 | 30% ±13 | 38% ±14 | 33% ±13 | 48 | 7% ±6 | 24% ±24 | 49% ±49 | 64% ±66 | 4.3d | 0.53% | 0.23% | 74 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 6,893.61–6,901.32 (-1.0%) | 3.8 | 8.4% | 15h | 6.6d ago · 58× | 13% ±17 | 25% ±15 | 36% ±16 | 39% ±17 | 33 | 5% ±4 | 13% ±16 | 31% ±41 | 47% ±69 | 5.9d | 1.00% | 0.42% | 97 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 6,883.74–6,887.69 (-1.2%) | 4.5 | 1.7% | 3h | 1.3d ago · 55× | 20% ±26 | 32% ±16 | 21% ±14 | 47% ±18 | 31 | 5% ±6 | 19% ±26 | 41% ±56 | 54% | 6.0d | 0.58% | 0.38% | 56 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,819.35 (-2.2%) | 8.2 | 0.9% | 1h | 7.3d ago · 67× | 8% ±14 | 23% ±13 | 49% ±15 | 28% ±13 | 44 | 5% ±5 | 8% ±14 | 28% ±44 | 50% ±69 | > 7d | 0.75% | 0.26% | 78 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | long | 6,971.82 | 6,977.44 | 6,901.32 | target | +0.25% |
| 30d | VAH | long | 6,971.82 | 7,048.76 | 6,918.27 | expired | +0.25% |