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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-01-29 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D VAH · 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 6,977.76–6,991.76 (+0.6%) | 2.3 | 9.7% | 12h | 5.1d ago · 78× | 23% ±18 | 25% ±11 | 46% ±13 | 29% ±12 | 56 | 5% ±4 | 23% ±18 | 46% ±37 | 77% ±48 | 3.8d | 0.43% | 0.24% | 124 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 6,942.58–6,961.77 (+0.1%) | 0.5 | 7.7% | 10h | 5.3d ago · 65× | 78% ±26 | 24% ±16 | 24% ±16 | 52% ±19 | 26 | 55% ±13 | 78% ±26 | 87% ±38 | 93% | 2h | 0.37% | 0.42% | 58 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,933.71 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 6,906.33–6,927.65 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 7.4% | 10h | 5.3d ago · 62× | 77% ±24 | 29% ±14 | 27% ±13 | 44% ±15 | 42 | 63% ±11 | 79% ±23 | 92% ±27 | 95% ±31 | 1h | 0.52% | 0.45% | 73 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,922.08 (-0.2%) | 0.6 | 10.3% | 13h | 7.1d ago · 67× | 79% ±21 | 23% ±13 | 49% ±15 | 28% ±13 | 44 | 60% ±10 | 79% ±21 | 83% ±33 | 90% ±41 | 1h | 0.75% | 0.26% | 92 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 6,906.33–6,908.46 (-0.4%) | 1.3 | 9.8% | 13h | 6.3d ago · 58× | 38% ±29 | 25% ±15 | 36% ±16 | 39% ±17 | 33 | 27% ±11 | 38% ±29 | 46% ±49 | 70% ±64 | 3.8d | 1.00% | 0.42% | 66 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 6,835.96–6,842.36 (-1.3%) | 4.8 | 1.6% | 3h | 1.2d ago · 55× | 17% ±23 | 32% ±16 | 21% ±14 | 47% ±18 | 31 | 3% ±4 | 19% ±24 | 47% ±56 | 56% | 4.0d | 0.58% | 0.38% | 60 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 6,933.71 | 6,983.22 | 6,909.53 | expired | -0.01% |
| 14d | VAL | long | 6,933.71 | 6,982.02 | 6,891.36 | expired | -0.01% |
| 30d | VAL | long | 6,933.71 | 6,977.76 | 6,894.26 | expired | -0.01% |