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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-02-17 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D POC · 14D VAH · 30D VAH · 7D VAH | 6,978.95–6,993.48 (+2.8%) | 5.6 | 14.5% | 20h | 5.2d ago · 71× | 7% ±12 | 27% ±11 | 48% ±13 | 25% ±11 | 60 | 2% ±3 | 7% ±12 | 19% ±32 | 59% ±56 | 6.2d | 0.48% | 0.19% | 105 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 6,949.74–6,949.81 (+2.3%) | 4.7 | 12.0% | 17h | 5.4d ago · 78× | 13% ±18 | 32% ±13 | 39% ±14 | 29% ±13 | 49 | 1% ±3 | 13% ±18 | 28% ±44 | 76% ±59 | 4.9d | 0.48% | 0.26% | 76 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 6,908.98–6,928.97 (+1.7%) | 3.5 | 11.2% | 14h | 5.4d ago · 65× | 30% ±34 | 27% ±15 | 24% ±14 | 49% ±17 | 34 | 7% ±8 | 30% ±34 | 53% ±69 | 78% | 2.9d | 0.41% | 0.42% | 41 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 6,863.55–6,877.88 (+1.1%) | 2.1 | 8.7% | 10h | 6.3d ago · 49× | 46% ±44 | 26% ±17 | 39% ±18 | 35% ±18 | 27 | 18% ±14 | 46% ±44 | 74% ±61 | 90% | 1.3d | 0.51% | 0.43% | 30 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,800.12–6,820.12 (+0.1%) | 0.3 | 3.9% | 4h | 21.3d ago · 30× | 80% ±35 | 26% ±22 | 5% ±11 | 68% ±23 | 16 | 40% ±18 | 80% ±35 | 93% ±35 | 97% | 18h | 0.34% | 0.64% | 28 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,791.32 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.