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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-02-17 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D POC · 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,978.47–6,988.67 (+1.9%) | 4.0 | 13.9% | 20h | 5.3d ago · 66× | 11% ±13 | 30% ±13 | 45% ±14 | 25% ±12 | 50 | 2% ±2 | 11% ±13 | 25% ±30 | 66% ±53 | 5.3d | 0.53% | 0.20% | 140 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D POC | 6,934.63–6,950.97 (+1.3%) | 2.6 | 9.8% | 14h | 5.1d ago · 71× | 18% ±17 | 27% ±11 | 45% ±13 | 28% ±11 | 60 | 3% ±3 | 18% ±17 | 40% ±39 | 82% ±43 | 4.0d | 0.39% | 0.16% | 114 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 6,907.03–6,927.44 (+0.9%) | 1.8 | 10.0% | 13h | 5.3d ago · 65× | 46% ±29 | 27% ±15 | 24% ±14 | 49% ±17 | 34 | 19% ±9 | 46% ±29 | 67% ±46 | 84% ±50 | 1.9d | 0.41% | 0.42% | 68 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D POC · 30D VAL | 6,851.79–6,870.75 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 7.1% | 10h | 5.3d ago · 78× | 74% ±22 | 29% ±13 | 42% ±14 | 28% ±13 | 49 | 58% ±10 | 75% ±22 | 85% ±31 | 92% ±38 | 2h | 0.54% | 0.38% | 88 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,846.03 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 6,808.2 (-0.6%) | 1.1 | 3.4% | 5h | 7.0d ago · 67× | 68% ±23 | 21% ±11 | 46% ±14 | 33% ±13 | 49 | 48% ±10 | 68% ±23 | 75% ±38 | 89% ±43 | 18h | 0.67% | 0.45% | 93 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.