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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-02-26 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D POC · 30D VAH | 6,978.47–6,988.67 (+1.5%) | 4.4 | 10.2% | 15h | 5.3d ago · 49× | 8% ±11 | 27% ±13 | 44% ±15 | 29% ±13 | 44 | 2% ±2 | 8% ±11 | 17% ±26 | 52% ±57 | 6.9d | 0.46% | 0.25% | 144 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 6,911.39 (+0.6%) | 1.6 | 5.8% | 8h | 5.1d ago · 71× | 41% ±21 | 21% ±10 | 54% ±12 | 25% ±11 | 64 | 16% ±6 | 41% ±21 | 62% ±36 | 84% ±42 | 2.0d | 0.37% | 0.17% | 127 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 6,884.35–6,907.03 (+0.2%) | 0.5 | 7.0% | 10h | 5.3d ago · 65× | 75% ±23 | 25% ±14 | 28% ±14 | 48% ±16 | 37 | 53% ±10 | 75% ±22 | 87% ±29 | 94% ±32 | 3h | 0.44% | 0.42% | 88 → 2 | |
| 7D POC · 14D VAH | 6,883.28–6,893.48 (+0.1%) | 0.4 | 6.8% | 10h | 5.3d ago · 78× | 72% ±18 | 31% ±13 | 44% ±13 | 25% ±12 | 52 | 50% ±8 | 72% ±18 | 82% ±26 | 93% ±29 | 12h | 0.55% | 0.24% | 139 → 3 | |
| at post · 6,873.38 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 6,870.75 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 6.7% | 10h | 6.3d ago · 41× | 59% ±31 | 24% ±15 | 42% ±18 | 33% ±17 | 30 | 48% ±13 | 59% ±31 | 68% ±53 | 76% | 18h | 0.95% | 0.46% | 61 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 6,847.9 (-0.4%) | 1.1 | 6.0% | 10h | 5.3d ago · 63× | 59% ±25 | 20% ±12 | 46% ±15 | 35% ±14 | 43 | 48% ±10 | 59% ±25 | 82% ±33 | 86% ±48 | 18h | 0.58% | 0.19% | 92 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 6,825.55–6,833.25 (-0.6%) | 1.7 | 5.3% | 8h | 7.0d ago · 67× | 38% ±24 | 25% ±12 | 40% ±13 | 35% ±13 | 51 | 22% ±8 | 38% ±24 | 52% ±44 | 75% ±60 | 2.0d | 0.69% | 0.40% | 95 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 6,873.38 | 6,883.28 | 6,925.45 | target | +0.18% |
| 14d | VAH | short | 6,873.38 | 6,847.9 | 6,905.71 | stop | +0.18% |