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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-02-26 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,984.14 (+1.1%) | 3.3 | 4.6% | 7h | 7.4d ago · 49× | 13% ±13 | 26% ±13 | 49% ±15 | 26% ±13 | 44 | 2% ±2 | 13% ±13 | 34% ±31 | 62% ±48 | 5.0d | 0.50% | 0.21% | 155 → 4 | |
| 30D POC | 6,944.45 (+0.5%) | 1.5 | 9.0% | 13h | 5.4d ago · 46× | 42% ±27 | 28% ±15 | 38% ±16 | 33% ±15 | 36 | 25% ±10 | 41% ±27 | 68% ±46 | 87% ±46 | 2.1d | 0.41% | 0.30% | 78 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 6,936.51–6,950.12 (+0.4%) | 1.2 | 7.1% | 10h | 5.4d ago · 65× | 61% ±24 | 27% ±14 | 27% ±14 | 46% ±16 | 38 | 36% ±10 | 61% ±24 | 77% ±37 | 91% ±40 | 22h | 0.48% | 0.42% | 98 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 6,910.03–6,914.13 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 7.2% | 10h | 5.2d ago · 71× | 85% ±15 | 26% ±11 | 50% ±12 | 24% ±10 | 65 | 63% ±8 | 85% ±15 | 93% ±19 | 96% ±23 | 1h | 0.50% | 0.17% | 126 → 3 | |
| at post · 6,909.01 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 6,902.06–6,902.48 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 8.9% | 12h | 5.3d ago · 75× | 76% ±22 | 24% ±11 | 42% ±13 | 34% ±12 | 55 | 58% ±10 | 75% ±22 | 89% ±28 | 94% ±34 | 2h | 0.53% | 0.22% | 92 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 6,873.02–6,879.82 (-0.4%) | 1.3 | 7.3% | 10h | 5.3d ago · 62× | 65% ±22 | 28% ±12 | 26% ±12 | 45% ±14 | 50 | 39% ±9 | 66% ±22 | 82% ±31 | 89% ±35 | 21h | 0.51% | 0.48% | 110 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,868.48 (-0.6%) | 1.8 | 6.9% | 10h | 6.4d ago · 41× | 36% ±30 | 24% ±15 | 42% ±18 | 33% ±17 | 30 | 25% ±11 | 38% ±30 | 59% ±56 | 75% | 2.8d | 0.95% | 0.46% | 61 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 6,834.62–6,839.22 (-1.0%) | 3.0 | 5.4% | 8h | 7.1d ago · 67× | 19% ±15 | 25% ±12 | 40% ±13 | 35% ±13 | 51 | 7% ±4 | 19% ±15 | 40% ±32 | 62% ±48 | 5.0d | 0.69% | 0.40% | 159 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 6,909.01 | 6,914.13 | 6,834.62 | stop | -0.45% |