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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-02-27 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,958.6 (+1.5%) | 3.9 | 5.6% | 9h | 7.4d ago · 49× | 10% ±11 | 26% ±13 | 49% ±15 | 26% ±13 | 44 | 1% ±2 | 10% ±11 | 27% ±29 | 57% ±48 | 6.0d | 0.50% | 0.21% | 167 → 4 | |
| 30D POC | 6,944.43 (+1.3%) | 3.4 | 9.9% | 14h | 5.4d ago · 46× | 10% ±16 | 28% ±15 | 38% ±16 | 33% ±15 | 36 | 3% ±4 | 10% ±16 | 23% ±37 | 64% ±66 | 5.8d | 0.41% | 0.30% | 86 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 6,902.06–6,911.39 (+0.7%) | 1.8 | 10.0% | 14h | 5.2d ago · 78× | 31% ±20 | 29% ±11 | 44% ±12 | 27% ±11 | 66 | 12% ±6 | 31% ±20 | 52% ±37 | 85% ±41 | 2.8d | 0.48% | 0.22% | 124 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 6,867.05–6,877.95 (+0.2%) | 0.4 | 8.6% | 13h | 5.4d ago · 65× | 74% ±23 | 27% ±14 | 27% ±14 | 46% ±16 | 38 | 55% ±10 | 74% ±22 | 87% ±30 | 94% ±33 | 2h | 0.48% | 0.42% | 89 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,856.29 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 6,833.25–6,843.07 (-0.2%) | 0.5 | 6.6% | 11h | 6.4d ago · 67× | 65% ±21 | 25% ±12 | 41% ±13 | 34% ±13 | 51 | 48% ±9 | 65% ±20 | 74% ±33 | 87% ±38 | 12h | 0.75% | 0.43% | 125 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.