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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-03-09 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,939.86 (+4.3%) | 8.1 | 8.0% | 10h | 7.3d ago · 49× | 1% ±6 | 26% ±13 | 49% ±15 | 26% ±13 | 44 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 4% ±19 | 39% ±68 | > 7d | 0.50% | 0.21% | 79 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 6,911.37 (+3.9%) | 7.3 | 5.2% | 7h | 5.2d ago · 66× | 4% ±10 | 36% ±13 | 45% ±13 | 20% ±11 | 53 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±10 | 16% ±32 | 44% ±69 | > 7d | 0.64% | 0.15% | 82 → 2 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC · 7D VAH | 6,866.59–6,890.41 (+3.2%) | 6.0 | 17.3% | 23h | 5.1d ago · 78× | 6% ±13 | 29% ±11 | 42% ±12 | 29% ±11 | 67 | 2% ±3 | 6% ±13 | 17% ±36 | 56% ±69 | 6.0d | 0.47% | 0.24% | 73 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 6,825.48–6,893.4 (+2.6%) | 4.9 | 8.5% | 11h | 5.3d ago · 65× | 32% ±53 | 28% ±13 | 26% ±13 | 46% ±15 | 43 | 5% ±9 | 32% ±53 | 60% | 90% | 1.9d | 0.54% | 0.42% | 20 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 6,804.04–6,806.93 (+2.3%) | 4.3 | 2.5% | 4h | 6.2d ago · 44× | 39% ±48 | 27% ±16 | 41% ±18 | 32% ±17 | 30 | 12% ±14 | 39% ±48 | 76% | 95% | 1.6d | 0.53% | 0.47% | 22 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,779.12 (+1.9%) | 3.6 | 2.5% | 3h | 6.2d ago · 49× | 29% ±44 | 25% ±16 | 34% ±17 | 41% ±18 | 29 | 7% ±10 | 29% ±44 | 68% | 96% | 2.0d | 0.45% | 0.46% | 26 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,652.67 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.