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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-03-18 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,913.08 (+3.7%) | 9.2 | 2.2% | 3h | 7.4d ago · 49× | 2% ±7 | 26% ±13 | 49% ±15 | 26% ±13 | 44 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 5% ±21 | 37% ±67 | > 7d | 0.50% | 0.21% | 66 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 6,875.29 (+3.1%) | 7.8 | 10.2% | 15h | 5.4d ago · 46× | 4% ±15 | 29% ±14 | 38% ±15 | 33% ±15 | 39 | 2% ±4 | 4% ±14 | 4% ±23 | 29% | > 7d | 0.50% | 0.29% | 45 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 6,796.85 (+1.9%) | 4.9 | 2.8% | 4h | 5.3d ago · 66× | 9% ±11 | 36% ±13 | 45% ±13 | 20% ±11 | 53 | 2% ±2 | 9% ±11 | 21% ±27 | 53% ±49 | 6.9d | 0.64% | 0.15% | 155 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 6,738.93–6,742.21 (+1.1%) | 2.7 | 2.5% | 4h | 21.2d ago · 30× | 32% ±46 | 25% ±21 | 5% ±10 | 70% ±22 | 17 | 18% ±15 | 32% ±46 | 54% | 75% | 2.8d | 0.32% | 0.65% | 26 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAH | 6,732.35–6,733.03 (+1.0%) | 2.4 | 3.2% | 5h | 5.2d ago · 71× | 25% ±18 | 24% ±10 | 47% ±12 | 29% ±11 | 67 | 7% ±4 | 25% ±18 | 43% ±34 | 73% ±50 | 4.5d | 0.44% | 0.26% | 137 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 6,696.21–6,699.5 (+0.4%) | 1.1 | 5.7% | 8h | 5.4d ago · 65× | 63% ±21 | 28% ±13 | 28% ±13 | 45% ±15 | 44 | 42% ±9 | 63% ±21 | 76% ±32 | 88% ±36 | 18h | 0.56% | 0.42% | 128 → 3 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 6,693.84–6,695.98 (+0.4%) | 1.0 | 5.4% | 8h | 5.4d ago · 78× | 62% ±20 | 32% ±12 | 38% ±13 | 30% ±12 | 57 | 42% ±8 | 63% ±20 | 78% ±29 | 90% ±34 | 18h | 0.51% | 0.26% | 136 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 6,671.08–6,671.56 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 1.7% | 3h | 6.3d ago · 49× | 82% ±25 | 26% ±15 | 39% ±17 | 35% ±17 | 32 | 58% ±13 | 82% ±25 | 92% ±32 | 98% | 3h | 0.54% | 0.45% | 54 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,667.47 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 6,667.47 | 6,606 | 6,693.84 | target | +1.32% |
| 14d | VAL | short | 6,667.47 | 6,541.7 | 6,695.98 | expired | +1.32% |