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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-03-23 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 6,914.19–6,933.35 (+4.2%) | 8.1 | 1.5% | 2h | 21.1d ago · 30× | 8% ±37 | 25% ±21 | 5% ±10 | 70% ±22 | 17 | 8% ±16 | 8% ±37 | 8% | 8% | > 7d | 0.32% | 0.65% | 11 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 6,909.4 (+4.1%) | 8.0 | 2.2% | 3h | 7.3d ago · 49× | 1% ±5 | 26% ±13 | 49% ±15 | 26% ±13 | 44 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 3% ±15 | 34% ±66 | > 7d | 0.50% | 0.21% | 93 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 6,883.06 (+3.7%) | 7.2 | 9.6% | 13h | 5.3d ago · 46× | 5% ±15 | 29% ±14 | 38% ±15 | 33% ±15 | 39 | 2% ±4 | 5% ±15 | 5% ±26 | 30% | > 7d | 0.50% | 0.29% | 53 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 6,763.34 (+1.9%) | 3.7 | 5.4% | 8h | 5.2d ago · 66× | 11% ±11 | 36% ±13 | 45% ±13 | 20% ±11 | 53 | 2% ±2 | 11% ±11 | 26% ±29 | 58% ±48 | 6.0d | 0.64% | 0.15% | 168 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 6,745.88 (+1.7%) | 3.2 | 3.3% | 5h | 5.1d ago · 71× | 17% ±15 | 23% ±10 | 51% ±12 | 26% ±10 | 67 | 4% ±3 | 17% ±15 | 29% ±31 | 62% ±55 | 6.0d | 0.40% | 0.16% | 139 → 3 | |
| 7D POC | 6,719.2 (+1.3%) | 2.4 | 6.9% | 9h | 5.3d ago · 78× | 32% ±23 | 31% ±12 | 39% ±13 | 30% ±12 | 58 | 10% ±6 | 32% ±23 | 52% ±44 | 77% ±59 | 3.0d | 0.54% | 0.33% | 96 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D POC | 6,693.86–6,694.6 (+0.9%) | 1.7 | 7.2% | 10h | 5.3d ago · 51× | 38% ±24 | 34% ±14 | 33% ±14 | 33% ±14 | 43 | 17% ±8 | 38% ±24 | 55% ±44 | 82% ±53 | 2.9d | 0.52% | 0.30% | 94 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 6,684.28–6,727.38 (+0.7%) | 1.4 | 5.5% | 8h | 5.3d ago · 65× | 56% ±22 | 29% ±13 | 27% ±13 | 44% ±14 | 45 | 32% ±9 | 56% ±22 | 70% ±37 | 84% ±42 | 1.0d | 0.59% | 0.41% | 113 → 3 | |
| at post · 6,636.07 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 6,607.64–6,622.01 (-0.2%) | 0.4 | 1.3% | 1h | 1.2d ago · 55× | 78% ±26 | 33% ±15 | 20% ±13 | 48% ±16 | 37 | 55% ±13 | 78% ±26 | 82% ±44 | 97% | 3h | 0.61% | 0.41% | 58 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 6,570.13–6,583.02 (-0.8%) | 1.5 | 1.8% | 4h | 7.0d ago · 67× | 45% ±22 | 24% ±11 | 37% ±12 | 39% ±12 | 60 | 23% ±8 | 45% ±22 | 61% ±39 | 82% ±43 | 1.8d | 0.60% | 0.45% | 114 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 6,636.07 | 6,719.2 | 6,553.71 | stop | -1.28% |
| 14d | VAL | long | 6,636.07 | 6,694.6 | 6,535.35 | stop | -1.28% |