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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-03-31 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,842.6 (+6.1%) | 11 | 1.3% | 2h | 7.3d ago · 49× | 2% ±10 | 26% ±13 | 49% ±15 | 26% ±13 | 44 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±9 | 2% ±15 | 19% | > 7d | 0.50% | 0.21% | 51 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH · 30D POC | 6,684.24–6,693.65 (+3.6%) | 6.8 | 5.2% | 8h | 5.2d ago · 66× | 3% ±8 | 33% ±13 | 42% ±13 | 25% ±12 | 53 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±8 | 11% ±25 | 34% ±54 | > 7d | 0.58% | 0.21% | 116 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 6,633.94 (+2.9%) | 5.4 | 3.7% | 4h | 5.1d ago · 71× | 4% ±9 | 24% ±10 | 51% ±12 | 25% ±10 | 68 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±9 | 16% ±30 | 51% ±57 | 7.0d | 0.43% | 0.16% | 108 → 3 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 6,587.97–6,588.14 (+2.2%) | 4.0 | 6.6% | 10h | 5.3d ago · 78× | 12% ±14 | 33% ±12 | 38% ±12 | 29% ±12 | 59 | 1% ±2 | 12% ±14 | 27% ±33 | 62% ±55 | 5.9d | 0.51% | 0.26% | 122 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 6,573.91–6,608.96 (+1.9%) | 3.6 | 4.5% | 7h | 5.3d ago · 65× | 26% ±26 | 31% ±13 | 27% ±13 | 43% ±14 | 46 | 3% ±4 | 26% ±26 | 41% ±48 | 62% ±67 | 3.9d | 0.61% | 0.40% | 68 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,568.07 (+1.8%) | 3.5 | 4.0% | 7h | 6.2d ago · 32× | 33% ±41 | 29% ±21 | 29% ±21 | 43% ±23 | 18 | 9% ±10 | 33% ±41 | 52% ±69 | 64% | 3.0d | 0.56% | 0.59% | 31 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,521.35–6,538.87 (+1.1%) | 2.1 | 1.3% | 2h | 21.1d ago · 30× | 41% ±39 | 32% ±21 | 5% ±9 | 64% ±22 | 19 | 16% ±12 | 42% ±40 | 58% ±68 | 81% | 1.9d | 0.37% | 0.62% | 36 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,470.68 (+0.3%) | 0.6 | 0.7% | 34m | 6.2d ago · 44× | 83% ±22 | 27% ±15 | 43% ±17 | 30% ±15 | 34 | 63% ±12 | 83% ±22 | 91% ±28 | 98% ±17 | 2h | 0.62% | 0.44% | 63 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,448.95 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 6,402.51 (-0.7%) | 1.4 | 1.2% | 2h | 7.0d ago · 67× | 60% ±21 | 20% ±10 | 42% ±12 | 38% ±12 | 62 | 34% ±9 | 60% ±21 | 71% ±34 | 88% ±36 | 22h | 0.56% | 0.52% | 119 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 6,448.95 | 6,587.97 | 6,360.85 | expired | +1.95% |