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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-04-07 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.20) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 6,739.45–6,750.01 (+2.6%) | 5.3 | 1.3% | 2h | 21.1d ago · 30× | 4% ±18 | 30% ±20 | 4% ±9 | 65% ±21 | 20 | 3% ±7 | 3% ±16 | 14% ±48 | 29% | > 7d | 0.34% | 0.64% | 28 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 6,734.16 (+2.5%) | 5.2 | 2.3% | 3h | 7.2d ago · 49× | 6% ±8 | 26% ±13 | 49% ±15 | 26% ±13 | 44 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±8 | 14% ±22 | 39% ±48 | > 7d | 0.50% | 0.21% | 174 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 6,633.81–6,639.09 (+1.0%) | 2.1 | 3.7% | 4h | 5.2d ago · 65× | 36% ±24 | 31% ±13 | 27% ±13 | 41% ±14 | 48 | 9% ±6 | 35% ±24 | 53% ±44 | 74% ±61 | 2.9d | 0.61% | 0.42% | 89 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D POC · 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,587.97–6,618.09 (+0.3%) | 0.6 | 10.1% | 15h | 5.0d ago · 78× | 54% ±20 | 31% ±11 | 43% ±12 | 26% ±10 | 69 | 34% ±7 | 54% ±19 | 69% ±30 | 83% ±37 | 1.4d | 0.54% | 0.21% | 153 → 4 | |
| at post · 6,567.53 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 6,532.69 (-0.5%) | 1.1 | 2.1% | 3h | 7.0d ago · 67× | 71% ±19 | 21% ±10 | 41% ±12 | 38% ±12 | 63 | 43% ±8 | 71% ±19 | 81% ±27 | 93% ±29 | 18h | 0.57% | 0.51% | 137 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,507.05 (-0.9%) | 1.9 | 2.9% | 4h | 6.2d ago · 41× | 45% ±28 | 20% ±13 | 44% ±16 | 37% ±15 | 38 | 20% ±9 | 44% ±28 | 62% ±47 | 76% ±59 | 2.0d | 0.82% | 0.56% | 73 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,478.6 (-1.4%) | 2.8 | 2.1% | 2h | 7.0d ago · 58× | 29% ±19 | 28% ±12 | 33% ±13 | 39% ±13 | 51 | 8% ±5 | 28% ±19 | 52% ±37 | 67% ±53 | 3.0d | 0.64% | 0.45% | 125 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 6,417.26–6,475.36 (-1.4%) | 2.9 | 1.5% | 1h | 14.1d ago · 54× | 31% ±24 | 33% ±15 | 19% ±12 | 48% ±16 | 39 | 14% ±7 | 30% ±24 | 62% ±43 | 83% ±52 | 2.1d | 0.61% | 0.41% | 85 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 6,567.53 | 6,532.69 | 6,613.86 | stop | -3.01% |
| 14d | POC | short | 6,567.53 | 6,478.6 | 6,618.09 | stop | -3.01% |
| 30d | POC | short | 6,567.53 | 6,507.05 | 6,734.16 | stop | -3.01% |