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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-04-08 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 6,765.14 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 6,739.45–6,750.01 (-0.2%) | 0.4 | 1.5% | 3h | 1.3d ago · 55× | 77% ±26 | 33% ±15 | 19% ±12 | 48% ±16 | 39 | 53% ±13 | 77% ±26 | 82% ±43 | 98% | 3h | 0.61% | 0.41% | 60 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 6,734.16 (-0.5%) | 0.8 | 2.8% | 4h | 14.3d ago · 30× | 83% ±30 | 12% ±14 | 48% ±21 | 40% ±20 | 22 | 63% ±15 | 83% ±30 | 85% ±49 | 88% | 1h | 0.37% | 0.39% | 38 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,676.07–6,728.88 (-0.5%) | 0.9 | 4.6% | 7h | 5.3d ago · 62× | 74% ±19 | 26% ±12 | 24% ±11 | 50% ±13 | 55 | 48% ±9 | 74% ±19 | 89% ±23 | 94% ±27 | 18h | 0.46% | 0.50% | 127 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH · 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D VAL | 6,567.32–6,617.16 (-2.2%) | 3.8 | 4.4% | 5h | 5.2d ago · 75× | 17% ±14 | 21% ±10 | 41% ±12 | 38% ±12 | 63 | 7% ±4 | 17% ±14 | 37% ±32 | 58% ±48 | 5.2d | 0.50% | 0.36% | 162 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,512.33 (-3.7%) | 6.5 | 3.2% | 4h | 6.4d ago · 41× | 8% ±11 | 20% ±13 | 44% ±16 | 37% ±15 | 38 | 3% ±3 | 8% ±11 | 19% ±27 | 29% ±51 | > 7d | 0.82% | 0.56% | 143 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,474.18 (-4.3%) | 7.5 | 1.6% | 1h | 7.1d ago · 58× | 10% ±14 | 28% ±12 | 33% ±13 | 39% ±13 | 51 | 3% ±3 | 10% ±14 | 32% ±37 | 43% ±56 | > 7d | 0.64% | 0.45% | 113 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAH | long | 6,765.14 | 6,986.97 | 6,588.92 | expired | +0.00% |