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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-04-14 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 6,934.19 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,887.16–6,890.87 (-0.6%) | 2.0 | <0.1% | 3m | 5.3d ago · 52× | 37% ±36 | 15% ±11 | 47% ±15 | 38% ±15 | 41 | 19% ±12 | 37% ±36 | 64% ±66 | 75% | 1.7d | 0.41% | 0.22% | 44 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,811.29–6,836.01 (-1.4%) | 4.6 | 1.7% | 3h | 5.3d ago · 62× | 14% ±23 | 25% ±11 | 24% ±11 | 51% ±13 | 56 | 5% ±6 | 14% ±23 | 37% ±55 | 58% | 6.0d | 0.47% | 0.49% | 56 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 6,816.83–6,820.86 (-1.6%) | 5.3 | 4.2% | 6h | 5.3d ago · 75× | 15% ±20 | 22% ±10 | 41% ±12 | 37% ±12 | 62 | 7% ±6 | 15% ±20 | 37% ±47 | 62% ±67 | 6.0d | 0.51% | 0.31% | 71 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 6,792.75–6,798.93 (-2.0%) | 6.4 | 0.2% | 32m | 1.2d ago · 55× | 18% ±22 | 32% ±14 | 23% ±13 | 45% ±15 | 41 | 4% ±5 | 18% ±22 | 43% ±49 | 56% ±69 | 5.9d | 0.59% | 0.38% | 70 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAH | 6,761.86–6,766.81 (-2.4%) | 7.9 | 1.8% | 3h | 7.1d ago · 67× | 7% ±12 | 20% ±10 | 43% ±12 | 38% ±12 | 64 | 4% ±4 | 6% ±12 | 25% ±35 | 44% ±69 | > 7d | 0.52% | 0.45% | 104 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 6,585.73 (-5.0%) | 16 | 8.5% | 12h | 5.1d ago · 48× | 12% ±24 | 27% ±13 | 33% ±14 | 40% ±15 | 42 | 7% ±8 | 12% ±24 | 36% ±67 | 46% | > 7d | 0.52% | 0.46% | 40 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,574.25 (-5.2%) | 17 | 6.4% | 9h | 7.1d ago · 58× | 13% ±22 | 28% ±12 | 33% ±13 | 39% ±13 | 51 | 9% ±7 | 12% ±21 | 21% ±46 | 31% | > 7d | 0.64% | 0.45% | 55 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,471.41 (-6.7%) | 22 | 0.6% | 29m | 6.4d ago · 41× | 5% ±12 | 20% ±13 | 44% ±16 | 37% ±15 | 38 | 2% ±3 | 5% ±11 | 17% ±33 | 21% ±56 | > 7d | 0.82% | 0.56% | 81 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 6,934.19 | 7,058.25 | 6,816.83 | expired | +0.85% |
| 14d | VAH | long | 6,934.19 | 7,247.1 | 6,820.86 | expired | +0.85% |