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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-04-22 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 7,147.52 (+0.3%) | 0.7 | 0.2% | 12m | 5.1d ago · 71× | 70% ±16 | 24% ±10 | 49% ±12 | 27% ±10 | 72 | 50% ±7 | 69% ±17 | 82% ±24 | 88% ±32 | 4h | 0.49% | 0.16% | 180 → 4 | |
| at post · 7,129.04 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 7,103.12 (-0.4%) | 1.0 | 3.8% | 7h | 7.2d ago · 75× | 62% ±20 | 26% ±11 | 39% ±12 | 35% ±12 | 63 | 42% ±8 | 62% ±20 | 82% ±27 | 91% ±33 | 18h | 0.50% | 0.26% | 137 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 7,056.15–7,064.46 (-0.9%) | 2.6 | 0.5% | 33m | 1.2d ago · 55× | 27% ±23 | 32% ±14 | 26% ±13 | 43% ±15 | 44 | 16% ±8 | 28% ±23 | 55% ±44 | 76% ±59 | 2.8d | 0.59% | 0.37% | 91 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 7,057.93 (-1.0%) | 2.8 | 0.4% | 18m | 13.3d ago · 40× | 39% ±39 | 10% ±12 | 48% ±19 | 41% ±19 | 26 | 16% ±12 | 38% ±39 | 50% ±69 | 64% | 4.1d | 0.38% | 0.15% | 35 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 7,014.62–7,039.54 (-1.3%) | 3.6 | 2.2% | 3h | 5.2d ago · 62× | 23% ±24 | 25% ±11 | 24% ±11 | 51% ±13 | 56 | 9% ±7 | 22% ±24 | 37% ±47 | 59% ±68 | 6.0d | 0.47% | 0.49% | 74 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,033.58 (-1.3%) | 3.8 | 2.5% | 4h | 7.0d ago · 67× | 14% ±13 | 22% ±10 | 40% ±12 | 37% ±12 | 64 | 6% ±3 | 14% ±13 | 37% ±30 | 59% ±48 | 5.8d | 0.58% | 0.49% | 174 → 4 | |
| 30D VAH | 6,848.5 (-3.9%) | 11 | 1.3% | 2h | 14.2d ago · 30× | 9% ±26 | 12% ±13 | 50% ±20 | 38% ±20 | 23 | 6% ±8 | 9% ±25 | 19% ±54 | 23% | > 7d | 0.37% | 0.33% | 32 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 6,815.62 (-4.4%) | 12 | 4.5% | 7h | 5.2d ago · 63× | 14% ±28 | 18% ±11 | 43% ±14 | 39% ±14 | 48 | 11% ±10 | 14% ±27 | 29% ±63 | 51% | 7.0d | 0.55% | 0.37% | 35 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,740.28 (-5.5%) | 15 | 0.3% | 14m | 7.0d ago · 58× | 12% ±19 | 28% ±12 | 33% ±13 | 39% ±13 | 51 | 9% ±7 | 12% ±19 | 20% ±39 | 30% ±64 | > 7d | 0.64% | 0.45% | 64 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 6,586.86 (-7.6%) | 22 | 8.4% | 11h | 5.1d ago · 48× | 8% ±22 | 27% ±13 | 33% ±14 | 40% ±15 | 42 | 5% ±7 | 8% ±21 | 28% ±62 | 33% | > 7d | 0.52% | 0.46% | 37 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,316.91 (-11.4%) | 32 | 0.3% | 20m | 6.3d ago · 41× | 8% ±22 | 20% ±13 | 44% ±16 | 37% ±15 | 38 | 5% ±7 | 8% ±21 | 19% ±54 | 19% | > 7d | 0.82% | 0.56% | 38 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 7,129.04 | 7,147.52 | 7,033.58 | expired | -0.00% |