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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-04-28 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 7,178.74 (+0.8%) | 2.6 | 1.5% | 2h | 5.3d ago · 66× | 20% ±15 | 32% ±12 | 45% ±13 | 23% ±11 | 58 | 5% ±3 | 19% ±15 | 40% ±32 | 66% ±47 | 4.5d | 0.56% | 0.19% | 167 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,158.91 (+0.5%) | 1.6 | 3.3% | 5h | 5.1d ago · 71× | 38% ±18 | 25% ±10 | 49% ±11 | 26% ±10 | 74 | 17% ±6 | 38% ±18 | 56% ±32 | 75% ±43 | 2.8d | 0.49% | 0.16% | 160 → 4 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 7,126.33–7,127.85 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 7.3% | 11h | 5.4d ago · 78× | 78% ±20 | 34% ±12 | 36% ±12 | 31% ±11 | 64 | 60% ±10 | 78% ±20 | 88% ±26 | 93% ±35 | 1h | 0.53% | 0.29% | 100 → 2 | |
| at post · 7,124.71 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 7,114.1 (-0.1%) | 0.5 | 4.7% | 7h | 5.1d ago · 48× | 72% ±24 | 27% ±13 | 33% ±14 | 40% ±15 | 42 | 54% ±11 | 73% ±24 | 84% ±36 | 86% ±48 | 2h | 0.52% | 0.46% | 78 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 7,072.99–7,083.24 (-0.6%) | 2.0 | 1.5% | 2h | 7.1d ago · 67× | 32% ±19 | 25% ±11 | 37% ±12 | 38% ±12 | 65 | 14% ±6 | 32% ±18 | 50% ±35 | 74% ±43 | 3.0d | 0.61% | 0.48% | 147 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 7,014.99–7,040.85 (-1.2%) | 4.0 | 1.8% | 2h | 5.3d ago · 62× | 18% ±22 | 25% ±11 | 25% ±11 | 50% ±13 | 57 | 9% ±7 | 17% ±21 | 31% ±45 | 52% ±69 | 7.0d | 0.46% | 0.49% | 73 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 6,877.1–6,937.43 (-2.6%) | 8.9 | 0.5% | 41m | 1.2d ago · 55× | 14% ±21 | 33% ±14 | 25% ±13 | 42% ±14 | 45 | 7% ±6 | 13% ±21 | 31% ±52 | 46% | > 7d | 0.58% | 0.38% | 59 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,747.83 (-5.3%) | 18 | 0.5% | 25m | 6.4d ago · 41× | 5% ±10 | 20% ±13 | 44% ±16 | 37% ±15 | 38 | 3% ±3 | 5% ±10 | 14% ±26 | 19% ±44 | > 7d | 0.82% | 0.56% | 128 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | short | 7,124.71 | 7,083.24 | 7,178.74 | expired | +0.04% |