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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-05-05 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,272.52 (+0.2%) | 0.6 | <0.1% | 12m | 7.4d ago · 49× | 74% ±19 | 25% ±12 | 47% ±14 | 27% ±13 | 48 | 54% ±9 | 74% ±19 | 83% ±28 | 89% ±35 | 4h | 0.45% | 0.22% | 121 → 3 | |
| at post · 7,256.13 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 7,235.63–7,250.39 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 3.0% | 4h | 5.4d ago · 62× | 79% ±19 | 25% ±11 | 25% ±11 | 50% ±13 | 57 | 57% ±10 | 78% ±20 | 91% ±23 | 93% ±35 | 1h | 0.46% | 0.49% | 103 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,214.89 (-0.6%) | 1.6 | 2.4% | 2h | 5.4d ago · 52× | 35% ±28 | 19% ±12 | 45% ±15 | 36% ±14 | 44 | 18% ±9 | 36% ±28 | 64% ±47 | 76% ±59 | 2.1d | 0.42% | 0.26% | 64 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 7,182.13 (-1.0%) | 2.9 | 1.5% | 2h | 13.4d ago · 40× | 34% ±35 | 13% ±13 | 47% ±19 | 40% ±18 | 27 | 14% ±11 | 33% ±35 | 46% ±69 | 59% | 5.1d | 0.38% | 0.17% | 40 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D POC | 7,124.51–7,135.03 (-1.7%) | 4.7 | 8.9% | 12h | 5.2d ago · 75× | 14% ±18 | 24% ±10 | 38% ±12 | 37% ±11 | 68 | 4% ±4 | 14% ±17 | 33% ±41 | 52% ±69 | 6.4d | 0.51% | 0.32% | 91 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,107.86 (-2.0%) | 5.8 | 4.8% | 8h | 7.2d ago · 67× | 8% ±10 | 24% ±10 | 40% ±12 | 37% ±12 | 65 | 2% ±2 | 8% ±10 | 30% ±30 | 51% ±49 | 7.0d | 0.59% | 0.51% | 169 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,073.67 (-2.5%) | 7.1 | 1.1% | 2h | 7.2d ago · 58× | 10% ±13 | 28% ±12 | 33% ±13 | 39% ±13 | 51 | 3% ±3 | 10% ±13 | 31% ±34 | 41% ±56 | > 7d | 0.64% | 0.45% | 129 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,955.26 (-4.1%) | 12 | 2.1% | 3h | 6.4d ago · 41× | 4% ±7 | 20% ±13 | 44% ±16 | 37% ±15 | 38 | 2% ±2 | 4% ±7 | 11% ±20 | 14% ±34 | > 7d | 0.82% | 0.56% | 166 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 6,881.48–6,933.12 (-4.5%) | 13 | 0.4% | 47m | 1.3d ago · 55× | 12% ±24 | 33% ±14 | 25% ±13 | 42% ±14 | 45 | 9% ±9 | 11% ±23 | 23% ±58 | 30% | > 7d | 0.58% | 0.38% | 43 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 7,256.13 | 7,363.16 | 7,135.03 | expired | +0.92% |