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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-05-06 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 7,322.58 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH · 7D VAH | 7,275.12–7,275.15 (-0.6%) | 2.0 | 0.7% | 42m | 5.2d ago · 52× | 28% ±31 | 17% ±11 | 46% ±15 | 37% ±14 | 45 | 18% ±10 | 28% ±29 | 54% ±56 | 68% | 3.1d | 0.40% | 0.28% | 52 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 7,235.34–7,267.19 (-0.8%) | 2.4 | 2.3% | 3h | 5.2d ago · 62× | 36% ±25 | 26% ±11 | 25% ±11 | 49% ±13 | 58 | 15% ±8 | 35% ±25 | 53% ±44 | 64% ±66 | 3.0d | 0.47% | 0.49% | 83 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 7,260.63 (-0.8%) | 2.6 | 3.9% | 5h | 7.2d ago · 75× | 26% ±22 | 27% ±11 | 38% ±12 | 35% ±11 | 68 | 9% ±6 | 26% ±22 | 60% ±43 | 76% ±59 | 2.2d | 0.48% | 0.27% | 91 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 7,208.62 (-1.6%) | 4.9 | 2.4% | 3h | 13.3d ago · 40× | 15% ±27 | 13% ±13 | 47% ±19 | 40% ±18 | 27 | 10% ±9 | 15% ±24 | 26% ±49 | 42% | > 7d | 0.38% | 0.17% | 46 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,179.23 (-2.0%) | 6.1 | 2.3% | 3h | 7.0d ago · 67× | 8% ±10 | 24% ±10 | 40% ±12 | 37% ±12 | 65 | 2% ±2 | 8% ±10 | 29% ±30 | 49% ±49 | > 7d | 0.59% | 0.51% | 162 → 4 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 7,127.58–7,127.85 (-2.7%) | 8.3 | 9.9% | 16h | 5.1d ago · 63× | 12% ±17 | 23% ±12 | 39% ±13 | 39% ±13 | 51 | 6% ±5 | 12% ±16 | 30% ±40 | 49% ±69 | 7.0d | 0.53% | 0.35% | 94 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,089.2 (-3.2%) | 9.9 | 2.6% | 4h | 7.0d ago · 58× | 7% ±11 | 28% ±12 | 33% ±13 | 39% ±13 | 51 | 4% ±4 | 7% ±11 | 24% ±34 | 33% ±53 | > 7d | 0.64% | 0.45% | 115 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,980.56 (-4.7%) | 15 | 0.4% | 58m | 6.3d ago · 41× | 4% ±7 | 20% ±13 | 44% ±16 | 37% ±15 | 38 | 2% ±2 | 4% ±7 | 11% ±20 | 14% ±34 | > 7d | 0.82% | 0.56% | 161 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 6,892.98–6,924.83 (-5.4%) | 17 | <0.1% | 25m | 1.2d ago · 55× | 13% ±30 | 33% ±14 | 25% ±13 | 42% ±14 | 45 | 12% ±12 | 12% ±29 | 23% ±58 | 30% | > 7d | 0.58% | 0.38% | 30 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 7,322.58 | 7,418.48 | 7,260.63 | expired | +0.64% |
| 30d | VAH | long | 7,322.58 | 7,617.17 | 7,127.85 | expired | +0.64% |