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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-05-08 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.20) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 7,389.69 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 7,331.83–7,344.98 (-0.6%) | 2.0 | 2.3% | 3h | 5.2d ago · 62× | 45% ±26 | 26% ±11 | 25% ±11 | 49% ±13 | 58 | 19% ±8 | 44% ±26 | 60% ±43 | 71% ±63 | 1.9d | 0.47% | 0.49% | 82 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,337.23 (-0.7%) | 2.3 | 3.3% | 4h | 5.2d ago · 52× | 25% ±28 | 21% ±12 | 44% ±14 | 35% ±14 | 45 | 14% ±9 | 25% ±28 | 52% ±57 | 65% | 2.9d | 0.42% | 0.25% | 55 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 7,279.25–7,318.69 (-1.0%) | 3.2 | 0.3% | 35m | 14.1d ago · 54× | 24% ±21 | 33% ±14 | 25% ±13 | 42% ±14 | 45 | 11% ±6 | 25% ±21 | 57% ±43 | 74% ±61 | 2.1d | 0.58% | 0.38% | 98 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 7,279.25 (-1.5%) | 4.9 | <0.1% | 0m | 14.1d ago · 30× | 11% ±24 | 11% ±12 | 50% ±20 | 39% ±19 | 25 | 7% ±7 | 11% ±23 | 23% ±58 | 53% | 6.1d | 0.37% | 0.33% | 43 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D VAH | 7,258.5–7,260.14 (-1.8%) | 5.8 | 3.6% | 5h | 7.2d ago · 75× | 14% ±21 | 23% ±10 | 40% ±12 | 37% ±11 | 68 | 8% ±7 | 14% ±20 | 25% ±43 | 42% ±68 | > 7d | 0.45% | 0.24% | 65 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,174.12 (-2.9%) | 9.6 | 3.2% | 4h | 7.0d ago · 67× | 8% ±14 | 24% ±10 | 40% ±12 | 37% ±12 | 65 | 6% ±5 | 8% ±14 | 22% ±37 | 34% ±66 | > 7d | 0.59% | 0.51% | 85 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 7,161.45 (-3.1%) | 10 | 4.2% | 7h | 5.2d ago · 63× | 12% ±20 | 19% ±11 | 43% ±14 | 39% ±13 | 51 | 8% ±7 | 11% ±20 | 20% ±45 | 36% | > 7d | 0.54% | 0.30% | 60 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 7,124.79 (-3.6%) | 12 | 9.3% | 16h | 5.0d ago · 48× | 12% ±18 | 28% ±13 | 34% ±14 | 38% ±14 | 44 | 6% ±6 | 12% ±17 | 29% ±44 | 43% ±69 | > 7d | 0.52% | 0.41% | 76 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,107.86 (-3.8%) | 13 | 4.1% | 7h | 7.0d ago · 58× | 8% ±13 | 28% ±12 | 33% ±13 | 39% ±13 | 51 | 5% ±4 | 8% ±13 | 24% ±34 | 34% ±66 | > 7d | 0.64% | 0.45% | 101 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,957.18 (-5.9%) | 19 | 1.8% | 3h | 6.2d ago · 41× | 4% ±8 | 20% ±13 | 44% ±16 | 37% ±15 | 38 | 2% ±3 | 4% ±8 | 12% ±24 | 15% ±41 | > 7d | 0.82% | 0.56% | 131 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 7,389.69 | 7,552.8 | 7,260.14 | expired | +0.10% |