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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-05-26 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 7,533.51 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 7,519.46 (-0.2%) | 0.5 | 0.2% | 44m | 14.2d ago · 30× | 81% ±27 | 13% ±12 | 52% ±19 | 35% ±18 | 28 | 64% ±14 | 81% ±27 | 81% ±45 | 83% | 1h | 0.44% | 0.38% | 45 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 7,463.72–7,472.3 (-0.8%) | 2.3 | 1.4% | 2h | 1.2d ago · 55× | 28% ±22 | 34% ±14 | 26% ±13 | 40% ±14 | 47 | 17% ±8 | 28% ±22 | 51% ±44 | 71% ±63 | 2.9d | 0.58% | 0.36% | 96 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 7,449.35–7,457.47 (-1.0%) | 2.9 | 2.1% | 3h | 5.2d ago · 52× | 29% ±30 | 20% ±11 | 44% ±14 | 37% ±14 | 47 | 14% ±9 | 29% ±30 | 43% ±56 | 56% | 5.0d | 0.41% | 0.22% | 54 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 7,377.97–7,433.71 (-1.3%) | 3.8 | 4.3% | 6h | 5.2d ago · 62× | 18% ±19 | 28% ±11 | 22% ±10 | 49% ±12 | 64 | 8% ±6 | 18% ±19 | 30% ±40 | 50% ±69 | 7.0d | 0.49% | 0.48% | 94 → 2 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 7,422.99–7,423.98 (-1.5%) | 4.1 | 7.5% | 10h | 5.1d ago · 75× | 17% ±19 | 26% ±10 | 37% ±11 | 37% ±11 | 71 | 4% ±4 | 17% ±19 | 36% ±42 | 54% ±69 | 5.9d | 0.52% | 0.31% | 91 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 7,345.86–7,356 (-2.4%) | 6.7 | 5.1% | 6h | 7.0d ago · 67× | 8% ±11 | 26% ±10 | 37% ±11 | 38% ±12 | 68 | 2% ±2 | 8% ±11 | 27% ±31 | 41% ±48 | > 7d | 0.62% | 0.47% | 147 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,249.35 (-3.8%) | 11 | 4.3% | 5h | 6.3d ago · 41× | 5% ±8 | 20% ±13 | 44% ±16 | 37% ±15 | 38 | 3% ±2 | 5% ±8 | 10% ±19 | 15% ±35 | > 7d | 0.82% | 0.56% | 183 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAH | long | 7,533.51 | 7,803.62 | 7,422.99 | expired | -0.22% |