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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-05-29 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 7,583.74 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 7,570.15 (-0.2%) | 0.7 | 0.9% | 49m | 12.9d ago · 40× | 69% ±29 | 16% ±13 | 44% ±18 | 41% ±18 | 29 | 51% ±13 | 70% ±28 | 83% ±43 | 87% | 3h | 0.38% | 0.17% | 61 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 7,535.48–7,550.23 (-0.4%) | 1.8 | 0.4% | 37m | 13.8d ago · 54× | 39% ±23 | 34% ±14 | 26% ±13 | 40% ±14 | 47 | 25% ±9 | 39% ±23 | 54% ±40 | 78% ±58 | 2.1d | 0.58% | 0.36% | 100 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 7,540.4 (-0.6%) | 2.3 | 0.5% | 46m | 13.8d ago · 30× | 31% ±37 | 13% ±12 | 53% ±18 | 34% ±17 | 29 | 21% ±13 | 31% ±37 | 44% ±69 | 56% | 4.9d | 0.43% | 0.33% | 37 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,528.21 (-0.7%) | 2.9 | 1.6% | 3h | 4.8d ago · 52× | 24% ±28 | 24% ±12 | 43% ±14 | 33% ±13 | 48 | 14% ±9 | 24% ±26 | 43% ±56 | 59% | 4.0d | 0.42% | 0.25% | 57 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 7,496.16–7,520.74 (-0.8%) | 3.3 | 3.7% | 6h | 4.8d ago · 62× | 22% ±20 | 29% ±11 | 22% ±10 | 49% ±12 | 65 | 7% ±5 | 22% ±19 | 34% ±38 | 54% ±56 | 6.8d | 0.50% | 0.46% | 105 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 7,518.33–7,518.34 (-0.9%) | 3.5 | 3.8% | 6h | 4.8d ago · 75× | 21% ±20 | 26% ±10 | 38% ±11 | 36% ±11 | 71 | 5% ±4 | 21% ±20 | 46% ±44 | 66% ±65 | 4.8d | 0.52% | 0.26% | 98 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,468.91 (-1.5%) | 6.1 | 0.7% | 1h | 6.6d ago · 67× | 7% ±9 | 24% ±10 | 39% ±12 | 37% ±11 | 68 | 2% ±2 | 7% ±9 | 26% ±27 | 47% ±49 | > 7d | 0.61% | 0.48% | 179 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,410.73 (-2.3%) | 9.2 | 4.7% | 7h | 6.6d ago · 58× | 8% ±11 | 28% ±12 | 33% ±13 | 39% ±13 | 51 | 4% ±3 | 8% ±11 | 22% ±29 | 30% ±52 | > 7d | 0.64% | 0.45% | 139 → 3 | |
| 30D POC | 7,395.4 (-2.5%) | 10.0 | 5.9% | 9h | 4.7d ago · 48× | 10% ±13 | 28% ±13 | 34% ±14 | 38% ±14 | 44 | 3% ±3 | 10% ±13 | 22% ±33 | 36% ±54 | > 7d | 0.52% | 0.41% | 113 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,319.21 (-3.5%) | 14 | 0.2% | 30m | 5.9d ago · 41× | 3% ±6 | 20% ±13 | 44% ±16 | 37% ±15 | 38 | 2% ±2 | 3% ±6 | 9% ±17 | 12% ±29 | > 7d | 0.82% | 0.56% | 190 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | long | 7,583.74 | 7,743.16 | 7,518.34 | expired | -0.03% |