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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-06-03 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 7,610.49–7,620.9 (+0.3%) | 1.6 | 4.3% | 5h | 4.8d ago · 78× | 34% ±18 | 30% ±10 | 40% ±11 | 30% ±10 | 83 | 15% ±5 | 34% ±18 | 52% ±33 | 78% ±40 | 3.1d | 0.47% | 0.24% | 169 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 7,607.5–7,616.43 (+0.3%) | 1.4 | 3.4% | 5h | 5.0d ago · 65× | 55% ±21 | 29% ±12 | 30% ±12 | 41% ±13 | 53 | 31% ±8 | 55% ±21 | 70% ±34 | 83% ±42 | 1.0d | 0.55% | 0.42% | 130 → 3 | |
| at post · 7,584.43 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL · 30D VAH | 7,558.35–7,562.73 (-0.3%) | 1.3 | 3.1% | 5h | 6.7d ago · 67× | 55% ±21 | 21% ±10 | 43% ±12 | 36% ±11 | 68 | 34% ±8 | 55% ±21 | 64% ±36 | 79% ±46 | 1.9d | 0.56% | 0.43% | 134 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 7,536.01–7,553.88 (-0.4%) | 1.9 | 0.6% | 45m | 13.9d ago · 54× | 35% ±23 | 33% ±13 | 27% ±13 | 39% ±14 | 48 | 21% ±8 | 35% ±22 | 52% ±40 | 74% ±50 | 2.9d | 0.58% | 0.33% | 105 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 7,500.27–7,522.61 (-0.8%) | 3.8 | 2.9% | 4h | 4.9d ago · 62× | 17% ±18 | 29% ±11 | 22% ±10 | 49% ±12 | 65 | 8% ±5 | 16% ±18 | 28% ±36 | 47% ±69 | > 7d | 0.50% | 0.46% | 102 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,498.25 (-1.1%) | 5.3 | 2.5% | 4h | 6.7d ago · 58× | 11% ±12 | 28% ±12 | 33% ±13 | 39% ±13 | 51 | 1% ±2 | 11% ±12 | 34% ±31 | 43% ±49 | > 7d | 0.64% | 0.45% | 155 → 4 | |
| 30D POC | 7,395.28 (-2.5%) | 12 | 5.1% | 8h | 4.8d ago · 48× | 8% ±13 | 28% ±13 | 34% ±14 | 38% ±14 | 44 | 5% ±4 | 8% ±13 | 21% ±32 | 31% ±52 | > 7d | 0.52% | 0.41% | 106 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,317.09 (-3.5%) | 16 | <0.1% | 13m | 6.0d ago · 41× | 4% ±7 | 20% ±13 | 44% ±16 | 37% ±15 | 38 | 2% ±2 | 4% ±7 | 10% ±18 | 13% ±33 | > 7d | 0.82% | 0.56% | 185 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | short | 7,584.43 | 7,498.25 | 7,620.9 | expired | +0.39% |