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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-06-05 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 7,620.9 (+1.5%) | 5.8 | 0.6% | 33m | 4.8d ago · 66× | 6% ±9 | 29% ±11 | 42% ±12 | 28% ±11 | 66 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±9 | 16% ±24 | 40% ±48 | > 7d | 0.48% | 0.21% | 161 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,600.72 (+1.3%) | 4.7 | 2.5% | 4h | 4.6d ago · 71× | 4% ±8 | 23% ±9 | 47% ±11 | 30% ±10 | 83 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±9 | 16% ±26 | 55% ±56 | 6.9d | 0.39% | 0.18% | 138 → 3 | |
| 7D POC | 7,584.96 (+1.1%) | 4.0 | 5.3% | 7h | 4.8d ago · 78× | 18% ±19 | 32% ±11 | 36% ±11 | 33% ±11 | 70 | 1% ±2 | 18% ±19 | 37% ±42 | 66% ±66 | 5.0d | 0.51% | 0.33% | 97 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 7,560.97–7,572.96 (+0.7%) | 2.8 | 5.7% | 8h | 4.8d ago · 65× | 36% ±24 | 29% ±12 | 30% ±12 | 41% ±13 | 53 | 7% ±5 | 36% ±24 | 51% ±44 | 75% ±60 | 3.0d | 0.55% | 0.42% | 92 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D POC · 14D POC | 7,555.32–7,563.41 (+0.7%) | 2.5 | 2.7% | 4h | 4.8d ago · 51× | 18% ±17 | 30% ±12 | 35% ±13 | 35% ±13 | 52 | 5% ±4 | 18% ±17 | 37% ±36 | 70% ±52 | 4.9d | 0.48% | 0.35% | 118 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,536.58 (+0.4%) | 1.6 | 0.6% | 1h | 5.8d ago · 44× | 63% ±33 | 26% ±15 | 42% ±16 | 32% ±15 | 35 | 35% ±13 | 63% ±33 | 79% ±46 | 96% | 21h | 0.62% | 0.45% | 50 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 7,528.01–7,554.98 (+0.3%) | 1.1 | 1.8% | 3h | 20.7d ago · 30× | 71% ±30 | 26% ±18 | 4% ±8 | 70% ±18 | 24 | 40% ±13 | 71% ±30 | 87% ±38 | 95% | 19h | 0.34% | 0.64% | 53 → 1 | |
| at post · 7,505.18 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 7,453.1–7,489.05 (-0.2%) | 0.8 | 2.2% | 4h | 13.7d ago · 54× | 66% ±23 | 33% ±13 | 29% ±13 | 38% ±14 | 49 | 50% ±10 | 66% ±22 | 75% ±35 | 89% ±43 | 4h | 0.58% | 0.36% | 99 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 7,387.17–7,429.12 (-1.0%) | 3.8 | 4.4% | 6h | 4.8d ago · 62× | 16% ±18 | 29% ±11 | 23% ±10 | 49% ±12 | 67 | 7% ±5 | 19% ±18 | 32% ±37 | 52% ±57 | 6.9d | 0.47% | 0.46% | 105 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,399.16 (-1.4%) | 5.3 | 5.4% | 8h | 5.8d ago · 41× | 8% ±12 | 20% ±13 | 44% ±16 | 37% ±15 | 38 | 3% ±3 | 8% ±12 | 23% ±31 | 34% ±54 | > 7d | 0.82% | 0.56% | 131 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 7,505.18 | 7,459.78 | 7,584.96 | target | +1.61% |
| 14d | VAL | short | 7,505.18 | 7,420.86 | 7,563.41 | target | +1.61% |
| 30d | POC | short | 7,505.18 | 7,399.16 | 7,620.9 | target | +1.61% |