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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-06-08 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D POC · 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 7,612.07–7,620.9 (+2.3%) | 6.0 | 6.5% | 7h | 4.7d ago · 78× | 5% ±9 | 29% ±10 | 41% ±11 | 30% ±10 | 84 | 1% ±2 | 5% ±9 | 19% ±29 | 45% ±56 | 5.8d | 0.47% | 0.23% | 132 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAH · 14D POC | 7,560.36–7,564.14 (+1.6%) | 4.2 | 7.9% | 10h | 4.9d ago · 51× | 11% ±11 | 29% ±12 | 38% ±13 | 34% ±13 | 52 | 1% ±2 | 11% ±11 | 26% ±26 | 57% ±43 | 5.1d | 0.46% | 0.32% | 193 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,525.04 (+1.2%) | 3.0 | 4.3% | 7h | 5.8d ago · 44× | 40% ±34 | 26% ±15 | 42% ±16 | 32% ±15 | 35 | 17% ±10 | 40% ±34 | 68% ±53 | 89% | 1.9d | 0.62% | 0.45% | 50 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 7,503.14–7,506.01 (+0.9%) | 2.2 | 6.7% | 9h | 4.9d ago · 65× | 35% ±23 | 28% ±12 | 30% ±12 | 42% ±13 | 54 | 8% ±5 | 35% ±23 | 51% ±44 | 76% ±60 | 3.0d | 0.56% | 0.44% | 97 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 7,457.18–7,485.91 (+0.2%) | 0.6 | 3.3% | 4h | 20.7d ago · 30× | 75% ±28 | 29% ±18 | 4% ±7 | 68% ±18 | 25 | 47% ±13 | 75% ±28 | 88% ±37 | 94% | 18h | 0.36% | 0.62% | 55 → 1 | |
| at post · 7,438.88 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 7,402.61–7,428.46 (-0.1%) | 0.4 | 7.5% | 10h | 4.8d ago · 62× | 77% ±18 | 29% ±11 | 22% ±10 | 49% ±12 | 69 | 57% ±9 | 77% ±18 | 88% ±24 | 91% ±33 | 2h | 0.47% | 0.46% | 128 → 3 | |
| 30D POC | 7,424.15 (-0.2%) | 0.5 | 8.9% | 12h | 4.7d ago · 48× | 72% ±23 | 28% ±13 | 34% ±14 | 38% ±14 | 44 | 53% ±11 | 72% ±23 | 83% ±33 | 86% ±49 | 3h | 0.52% | 0.41% | 81 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,333.68 (-1.4%) | 3.7 | 0.5% | 36m | 5.9d ago · 41× | 22% ±18 | 19% ±12 | 45% ±16 | 36% ±15 | 39 | 8% ±5 | 22% ±18 | 41% ±39 | 55% ±56 | 5.0d | 0.77% | 0.55% | 114 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | POC | long | 7,438.88 | 7,560.58 | 7,333.68 | expired | -0.19% |