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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-06-23 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,617.07 (+2.7%) | 5.8 | 4.8% | 5h | 6.9d ago · 49× | 7% ±9 | 24% ±12 | 44% ±14 | 31% ±13 | 51 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±9 | 13% ±21 | 36% ±47 | > 7d | 0.43% | 0.23% | 179 → 4 | |
| 30D POC · 14D VAH | 7,565.36–7,577.92 (+2.0%) | 4.3 | 12.8% | 17h | 4.8d ago · 66× | 8% ±9 | 30% ±11 | 40% ±12 | 30% ±11 | 67 | 2% ±2 | 8% ±9 | 18% ±23 | 46% ±44 | > 7d | 0.49% | 0.23% | 194 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,520.42 (+1.4%) | 3.0 | 9.6% | 16h | 4.7d ago · 71× | 19% ±15 | 24% ±9 | 47% ±11 | 30% ±10 | 85 | 4% ±3 | 19% ±14 | 34% ±31 | 65% ±47 | 5.9d | 0.40% | 0.18% | 165 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 7,494.49–7,528.97 (+1.0%) | 2.2 | 6.1% | 7h | 4.9d ago · 65× | 37% ±23 | 29% ±11 | 32% ±12 | 40% ±12 | 60 | 10% ±6 | 36% ±23 | 52% ±40 | 75% ±60 | 3.0d | 0.56% | 0.42% | 103 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D POC · 7D POC | 7,463.49–7,474.67 (+0.6%) | 1.3 | 4.0% | 4h | 4.9d ago · 78× | 44% ±22 | 31% ±11 | 35% ±11 | 34% ±11 | 73 | 24% ±8 | 44% ±22 | 61% ±36 | 84% ±42 | 2.1d | 0.50% | 0.36% | 118 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,440.87 (+0.3%) | 0.7 | 3.5% | 5h | 5.8d ago · 32× | 65% ±38 | 24% ±18 | 28% ±19 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 45% ±16 | 65% ±38 | 70% ±64 | 85% | 18h | 0.58% | 0.61% | 38 → 1 | |
| at post · 7,417.41 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 7,384.08 (-0.4%) | 1.0 | 2.6% | 3h | 6.6d ago · 58× | 56% ±20 | 27% ±12 | 34% ±13 | 39% ±13 | 53 | 38% ±8 | 56% ±20 | 66% ±33 | 82% ±44 | 22h | 0.64% | 0.45% | 141 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 7,314.46–7,375.75 (-0.6%) | 1.2 | 2.1% | 3h | 13.8d ago · 54× | 54% ±21 | 31% ±13 | 27% ±12 | 42% ±13 | 52 | 40% ±9 | 54% ±21 | 66% ±35 | 83% ±43 | 22h | 0.51% | 0.37% | 126 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 7,417.41 | 7,360.48 | 7,474.67 | expired | +0.33% |
| 14d | POC | short | 7,417.41 | 7,384.08 | 7,577.92 | target | +0.33% |
| 30d | VAL | short | 7,417.41 | 7,241.21 | 7,565.36 | expired | +0.33% |